Deal Risk
Historical signal intelligence based on stored Merrowstone event memory and outcome observations. Results are ordered and labelled from existing database evidence only.
Signal Intelligence Summary
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Visual Intelligence Graph
Use this graph to understand how the selected signal connects to events, companies, related signals, and observed outcomes.
Historical Events Timeline
Direct matches are shown separately from co-signal observations. Pending outcome windows are labelled rather than shown as broken data.
| Date | Company | Headline | Why related? | Primary Signal | 7d Return | 30d Return | 90d Return | Relative 90d Return | Board |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Direct Signal MatchesThe selected signal is the primary or directly attributed signal. | |||||||||
| 2026-02-08 | XOM / Exxon Mobil | California Resources to acquire Aera for $2.1bn | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -1.27% | +0.05% | +1.09% | -6.25% | |
| 2026-03-10 | CRWD / CrowdStrike | Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Stock Surges 5% Following Xanadu Quantum Computing Investment | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -0.72% | -9.55% | +50.98% | +41.52% | |
| 2026-02-27 | AMZN / AMAZON COM INC | Amazon Com Inc enters material agreement | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | +1.53% | -4.31% | +30.48% | +20.18% | |
| 2025-10-06 | AMD / ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC | Advanced Micro Devices Inc enters material agreement | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | +6.24% | +25.83% | +8.53% | +5.83% | |
| 2025-07-23 | V / VISA INC. | Visa Inc. enters material agreement | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -1.23% | -1.30% | -2.10% | -8.24% | |
| 2025-07-01 | MSFT / MICROSOFT CORP | Microsoft Corp enters material agreement | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | +0.93% | +8.42% | +4.75% | -3.00% | |
| 2026-03-16 | JPM / JPMorgan Chase | Is Sezzle (SEZL) Quietly Reframing Its Risk Story Amid JPMorgan’s Private Credit Pullback? | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | +1.31% | +7.46% | +12.19% | -0.95% | |
| 2026-03-16 | AMZN / Amazon | FedEx to Report Q3 Earnings: Should You Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock? | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -0.76% | +17.36% | +16.19% | +3.06% | |
| 2026-03-16 | NVDA / Nvidia | Oracle Corp Stock (ISIN: US68389X1054) Hits New Highs on Cloud Momentum Amid Analyst Optimism | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -4.14% | +8.54% | +16.09% | +2.96% | |
| 2026-03-16 | NVDA / Nvidia | Uber rides to add NVIDIA robotaxis in LA, SF and 26 more cities | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -4.14% | +8.54% | +16.09% | +2.96% | |
| 2026-03-16 | NVDA / Nvidia | NVIDIA to Launch L4 Software-Driven Robotaxis on Uber Across 28 Cities by 2028 | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -4.14% | +8.54% | +16.09% | +2.96% | |
| 2026-03-16 | NVDA / Nvidia | Uber Stock Darts Higher On Expanded Autonomous Vehicle Partnership With Nvidia | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -4.14% | +8.54% | +16.09% | +2.96% | |
| 2026-03-14 | GOOGL / Alphabet | ESS Tech outlines $9.9M Air Force contract and Google partnership while targeting energy base ramp in 2027 | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -0.07% | +6.30% | +19.06% | +6.76% | |
| 2026-03-13 | MSFT / Microsoft | Applied Materials, Inc. (AMAT) Enhances Manufacturing Capabilities to Capitalize on AI Demand | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -3.46% | -2.83% | -1.10% | -12.80% | |
| 2026-03-13 | MSFT / Microsoft | €166.94: SAP SE (SAP.DE XETRA) intraday 13 Mar 2026: AI focus hints 12% upside | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -3.46% | -2.83% | -1.10% | -12.80% | |
| 2026-03-07 | CRWD / CrowdStrike | Ross Stores Surges on Blowout Earnings: Could This Spark a Run to a $213 Target? | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -1.20% | -7.08% | +56.42% | +46.43% | |
| 2026-03-06 | GOOGL / Alphabet | Waystar Advances AI Innovation with Google Cloud to Accelerate the Autonomous Revenue Cycle | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | +1.33% | +0.56% | +24.77% | +11.86% | |
| 2026-03-05 | GOOGL / Alphabet | Morgan Stanley changes its Nvidia position for the rest of 2026 | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | +0.96% | -0.23% | +19.40% | +8.39% | |
| 2026-03-05 | AMZN / Amazon | Cathie Wood Buys What This Billionaire Is Selling: Ark Adds Amazon And Alibaba Stock, Dumps This Chip Giant | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -4.30% | -2.81% | +14.20% | +3.19% | |
| 2026-03-04 | AAPL / Apple | Expanding Into Value | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -0.65% | -1.39% | +20.18% | +9.01% | |
| 2026-03-03 | MSFT / Microsoft | ZenaTech, Inc. (ZENA) Competitors | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | +0.45% | -7.54% | +14.26% | +2.46% | |
| 2026-03-03 | AAPL / Apple | Does ATRenew’s Vertically Integrated Partnerships with JD.com and Apple Redefine the RERE Investment Narrative? | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -1.11% | -2.97% | +16.24% | +4.44% | |
| 2026-03-02 | AAPL / Apple | Does ATRenew’s Vertically Integrated Partnerships with JD.com and Apple Redefine the RERE Investment Narrative? | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -1.83% | -3.43% | +15.82% | +5.00% | |
| 2026-03-01 | GOOGL / Alphabet | Hyperliquid Strategies remains $356M in gains as losses drag down DAT firms | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -1.66% | -7.70% | +20.81% | +9.93% | |
| 2026-02-27 | AAPL / Apple | MP Materials Selects Northlake, Texas, as the Site of “10X,” a New U.S. Rare Earth Magnet Manufacturing Campus | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -2.54% | -6.64% | +18.40% | +8.10% | |
Historical observation only. This workspace does not provide investment advice, forecasts, price targets, buy/sell ratings, or claims of causation.