Geopolitical Risk
Historical signal intelligence based on stored Merrowstone event memory and outcome observations. Results are ordered and labelled from existing database evidence only.
Signal Intelligence Summary
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Visual Intelligence Graph
Use this graph to understand how the selected signal connects to events, companies, related signals, and observed outcomes.
Historical Events Timeline
Direct matches are shown separately from co-signal observations. Pending outcome windows are labelled rather than shown as broken data.
| Date | Company | Headline | Why related? | Primary Signal | 7d Return | 30d Return | 90d Return | Relative 90d Return | Board |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Direct Signal MatchesThe selected signal is the primary or directly attributed signal. | |||||||||
| 2026-03-11 | MSFT / Microsoft | 'Legitimate targets': Iran issues warning to US tech firms including Google, Amazon, Microsoft, Nvidia | Show explanationAssigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Geopolitical Risk | -3.23% | -8.40% | -0.15% | -9.42% | |
| 2026-03-05 | AMZN / Amazon | Jim Cramer Says Oil Sell-Off Is Green Light For New Bull Market Even As Exxon Mobil, ConocoPhillips Shares Slide | Show explanationAssigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Geopolitical Risk | -4.30% | -2.81% | +14.20% | +3.19% | |
| 2023-12-11 | CVX / Chevron | Chevron CEO Sees Venezuela-Guyana Talks More Likely Than War | Show explanationAssigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Geopolitical Risk | +3.69% | +0.10% | +6.45% | -4.67% | |
| 2026-03-16 | XOM / Exxon Mobil | Drone strike sparks fire at UAE’s Shah gas field operated by ADNOC, Occidental | Show explanationAssigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Geopolitical Risk | +2.48% | -5.23% | -9.77% | -22.90% | |
| 2026-03-06 | XOM / Exxon Mobil | TPET Stock Jumps 60% Pre-Market – Retail Sees Nearly 10x Gains By The End Of The War In Middle East | Show explanationAssigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Geopolitical Risk | +3.25% | +8.04% | +1.23% | -11.67% | |
| 2026-03-03 | XOM / Exxon Mobil | Best stocks to buy now as US-Iran war escalates in Middle East | Show explanationAssigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Geopolitical Risk | -2.44% | +5.84% | -0.95% | -12.75% | |
| 2026-03-27 | CRWD / CrowdStrike | Stock Market Today: SPY, QQQ Drop to YTD Low as Iran War Nears One-Month Mark | Show explanationAssigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Geopolitical Risk | +7.85% | +23.01% | +83.63% | +67.53% | |
| 2026-03-16 | NVDA / Nvidia | UK consumers hit by worries over war in Iran, S&P Global says By Reuters | Show explanationAssigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Geopolitical Risk | -4.14% | +8.54% | +16.09% | +2.96% | |
| 2026-03-13 | JPM / JPMorgan Chase | US STOCKS-Wall St ends sharply lower as intensifying Iran war, soaring crude prompt selloff | Show explanationAssigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Geopolitical Risk | +1.10% | +11.24% | +11.17% | -0.53% | |
| 2026-03-13 | JPM / JPMorgan Chase | US STOCKS-Wall St ends sharply lower as Iran war intensifies, crude price soars | Show explanationAssigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Geopolitical Risk | +1.10% | +11.24% | +11.17% | -0.53% | |
| 2026-03-13 | JPM / JPMorgan Chase | JPMorgan, Partners Group Cancel UAE Events as War Drags On | Show explanationAssigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Geopolitical Risk | +1.10% | +11.24% | +11.17% | -0.53% | |
| 2026-03-12 | XOM / Exxon Mobil | Commodities Lead Major Asset Classes by Wide Margin This Year | Show explanationAssigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Geopolitical Risk | +3.02% | -0.58% | -1.23% | -10.44% | |
| 2026-03-12 | AAPL / Apple | What Is Going On With Apple Stock On Thursday? | Show explanationAssigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Geopolitical Risk | -2.66% | +1.35% | +14.11% | +4.90% | |
| 2026-03-11 | XOM / Exxon Mobil | War-driven energy price spike increases risk of central bank policy errors | Show explanationAssigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Geopolitical Risk | +3.96% | +0.61% | -1.09% | -10.37% | |
| 2026-03-10 | XOM / Exxon Mobil | Energy Production Won’t Bounce Back Quickly, S&P Global’s Yergin Warns | Show explanationAssigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Geopolitical Risk | +7.21% | +4.66% | +3.14% | -6.32% | |
| 2026-03-06 | XOM / Exxon Mobil | Trump Shrugs Off Oil Prices At $88: 'If They Rise, They Rise'—What Do Prediction Markets Say? | Show explanationAssigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Geopolitical Risk | +3.25% | +8.04% | +1.23% | -11.67% | |
| 2026-03-04 | TSLA / Tesla | US Stocks Rise, Oil Prices Stabilize as Iran War Escalates | Show explanationAssigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Geopolitical Risk | +0.46% | -13.09% | +4.38% | -6.78% | |
| 2026-03-03 | XOM / Exxon Mobil | TPET Stock Jumps 60% Pre-Market – Retail Sees Nearly 10x Gains By The End Of The War In Middle East | Show explanationAssigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Geopolitical Risk | -2.44% | +5.84% | -0.95% | -12.75% | |
| 2026-03-03 | CRWD / CrowdStrike | Rio Tinto stock drops 2% in London as war jitters bite; investors eye what’s next | Show explanationAssigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Geopolitical Risk | +11.47% | +1.97% | +99.83% | +88.03% | |
| 2025-03-28 | AAPL / Apple | Asia Markets Mixed, Europe Falls On Auto Tariff Concerns And Gold Hits All-Time High - Global Markets Tod | Show explanationAssigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Geopolitical Risk | -13.55% | -3.56% | -7.63% | -18.08% | |
| 2025-02-06 | AAPL / Apple | How Calvin Klein and Tommy Hilfiger got caught in Trump's trade war with China | Show explanationAssigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Geopolitical Risk | +3.68% | -2.35% | -15.76% | -8.59% | |
| 2022-12-12 | NOC / Northrop Grumman | Radar Link Market to Hit USD 2.73 Billion by 2029 | | Show explanationAssigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Geopolitical Risk | -0.50% | -7.89% | -14.16% | -11.20% | |
| 2026-03-13 | CRWD / CrowdStrike | Beyond Defense: Why Are Cyber ETFs the Hottest War Trade Right Now? | Show explanationAssigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Geopolitical Risk | -7.42% | -8.95% | +56.53% | +44.83% | |
| 2026-03-16 | AAPL / Apple | Walmart’s PhonePe Says War Has Halted IPO Plans | Show explanationAssigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. |
Geopolitical Risk | -0.53% | +5.38% | +17.35% | +4.22% | |
| 2026-03-13 | AMZN / Amazon | From Amazon to Airbnb, US Blue-Chip Bond Sales Flirt With Record | Show explanationAssigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. |
Geopolitical Risk | -1.11% | +15.52% | +16.30% | +4.60% | |
Historical observation only. This workspace does not provide investment advice, forecasts, price targets, buy/sell ratings, or claims of causation.