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Merrowstone Signal Intelligence

Geopolitical Risk

Historical signal intelligence based on stored Merrowstone event memory and outcome observations. Results are ordered and labelled from existing database evidence only.

Signal Intelligence Summary

Signal nameGeopolitical Risk
Historical events shown120
First occurrence shown2018-04-20
Most recent occurrence2026-03-27
Average 7d return+0.27%
Average 30d return+1.08%
Average 90d return+5.03%
Average relative 90d return+0.42%
Best observed outcomeCRWD 2026-03-03 +99.83% 90d
Worst observed outcomeAVGO 2019-12-20 -39.04% 90d
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Historical Events Timeline

Direct matches are shown separately from co-signal observations. Pending outcome windows are labelled rather than shown as broken data.

Date Company Headline Why related? Primary Signal 7d Return 30d Return 90d Return Relative 90d Return
Direct Signal MatchesThe selected signal is the primary or directly attributed signal.
2026-03-11 MSFT / Microsoft 'Legitimate targets': Iran issues warning to US tech firms including Google, Amazon, Microsoft, Nvidia Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: MSFTAttribution confidence: 0.79Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity co… Geopolitical Risk -3.23% -8.40% -0.15% -9.42%
2026-03-05 AMZN / Amazon Jim Cramer Says Oil Sell-Off Is Green Light For New Bull Market Even As Exxon Mobil, ConocoPhillips Shares Slide Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AMZNAttribution confidence: 0.79Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity co… Geopolitical Risk -4.30% -2.81% +14.20% +3.19%
2023-12-11 CVX / Chevron Chevron CEO Sees Venezuela-Guyana Talks More Likely Than War Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: CVXAttribution confidence: 0.79Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity co… Geopolitical Risk +3.69% +0.10% +6.45% -4.67%
2026-03-16 XOM / Exxon Mobil Drone strike sparks fire at UAE’s Shah gas field operated by ADNOC, Occidental Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: XOMAttribution confidence: 0.60Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity co… Geopolitical Risk +2.48% -5.23% -9.77% -22.90%
2026-03-06 XOM / Exxon Mobil TPET Stock Jumps 60% Pre-Market – Retail Sees Nearly 10x Gains By The End Of The War In Middle East Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: XOMAttribution confidence: 0.60Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity co… Geopolitical Risk +3.25% +8.04% +1.23% -11.67%
2026-03-03 XOM / Exxon Mobil Best stocks to buy now as US-Iran war escalates in Middle East Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: XOMAttribution confidence: 0.60Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity co… Geopolitical Risk -2.44% +5.84% -0.95% -12.75%
2026-03-27 CRWD / CrowdStrike Stock Market Today: SPY, QQQ Drop to YTD Low as Iran War Nears One-Month Mark Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: CRWDAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity co… Geopolitical Risk +7.85% +23.01% +83.63% +67.53%
2026-03-16 NVDA / Nvidia UK consumers hit by worries over war in Iran, S&P Global says By Reuters Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: NVDAAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity co… Geopolitical Risk -4.14% +8.54% +16.09% +2.96%
2026-03-13 JPM / JPMorgan Chase US STOCKS-Wall St ends sharply lower as intensifying Iran war, soaring crude prompt selloff Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: JPMAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity co… Geopolitical Risk +1.10% +11.24% +11.17% -0.53%
2026-03-13 JPM / JPMorgan Chase US STOCKS-Wall St ends sharply lower as Iran war intensifies, crude price soars Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: JPMAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity co… Geopolitical Risk +1.10% +11.24% +11.17% -0.53%
2026-03-13 JPM / JPMorgan Chase JPMorgan, Partners Group Cancel UAE Events as War Drags On Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: JPMAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity co… Geopolitical Risk +1.10% +11.24% +11.17% -0.53%
2026-03-12 XOM / Exxon Mobil Commodities Lead Major Asset Classes by Wide Margin This Year Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: XOMAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity co… Geopolitical Risk +3.02% -0.58% -1.23% -10.44%
2026-03-12 AAPL / Apple What Is Going On With Apple Stock On Thursday? Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity co… Geopolitical Risk -2.66% +1.35% +14.11% +4.90%
2026-03-11 XOM / Exxon Mobil War-driven energy price spike increases risk of central bank policy errors Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: XOMAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity co… Geopolitical Risk +3.96% +0.61% -1.09% -10.37%
2026-03-10 XOM / Exxon Mobil Energy Production Won’t Bounce Back Quickly, S&P Global’s Yergin Warns Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: XOMAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity co… Geopolitical Risk +7.21% +4.66% +3.14% -6.32%
2026-03-06 XOM / Exxon Mobil Trump Shrugs Off Oil Prices At $88: 'If They Rise, They Rise'—What Do Prediction Markets Say? Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: XOMAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity co… Geopolitical Risk +3.25% +8.04% +1.23% -11.67%
2026-03-04 TSLA / Tesla US Stocks Rise, Oil Prices Stabilize as Iran War Escalates Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: TSLAAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity co… Geopolitical Risk +0.46% -13.09% +4.38% -6.78%
2026-03-03 XOM / Exxon Mobil TPET Stock Jumps 60% Pre-Market – Retail Sees Nearly 10x Gains By The End Of The War In Middle East Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: XOMAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity co… Geopolitical Risk -2.44% +5.84% -0.95% -12.75%
2026-03-03 CRWD / CrowdStrike Rio Tinto stock drops 2% in London as war jitters bite; investors eye what’s next Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: CRWDAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity co… Geopolitical Risk +11.47% +1.97% +99.83% +88.03%
2025-03-28 AAPL / Apple Asia Markets Mixed, Europe Falls On Auto Tariff Concerns And Gold Hits All-Time High - Global Markets Tod Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity co… Geopolitical Risk -13.55% -3.56% -7.63% -18.08%
2025-02-06 AAPL / Apple How Calvin Klein and Tommy Hilfiger got caught in Trump's trade war with China Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity co… Geopolitical Risk +3.68% -2.35% -15.76% -8.59%
2022-12-12 NOC / Northrop Grumman Radar Link Market to Hit USD 2.73 Billion by 2029 | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: NOCAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity co… Geopolitical Risk -0.50% -7.89% -14.16% -11.20%
2026-03-13 CRWD / CrowdStrike Beyond Defense: Why Are Cyber ETFs the Hottest War Trade Right Now? Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: CRWDAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity co… Geopolitical Risk -7.42% -8.95% +56.53% +44.83%
2026-03-16 AAPL / Apple Walmart’s PhonePe Says War Has Halted IPO Plans Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Geopolitical Risk -0.53% +5.38% +17.35% +4.22%
2026-03-13 AMZN / Amazon From Amazon to Airbnb, US Blue-Chip Bond Sales Flirt With Record Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AMZNAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Geopolitical Risk -1.11% +15.52% +16.30% +4.60%
2026-03-13 NVDA / Nvidia Taiwan's Foundry Model: The Global Chip Industry's Central Hub in 2026 - News and Statistics Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: NVDAAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Geopolitical Risk -4.19% +5.03% +13.79% +2.09%
2026-03-11 MSFT / Microsoft Leidos to modernize and secure U.S. Air Force cloud operations for faster, safer mission readiness Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: MSFTAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Geopolitical Risk -3.23% -8.40% -0.15% -9.42%
2026-03-10 AAPL / Apple Silicon South: Apple Hits 25% Manufacturing Milestone in India as iPhone 17 Pro Production Scales Up Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Geopolitical Risk -2.53% -0.13% +15.71% +6.25%
2026-03-06 MSFT / Microsoft Microsoft says Anthropic's products can remain available to customers after supply chain risk designation Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: MSFTAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Geopolitical Risk -3.28% -8.82% +4.89% -8.01%
2026-03-06 MSFT / Microsoft Microsoft says Anthropic products remain available to customers despite Pentagon blacklist (MSFT:NASDAQ) Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: MSFTAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Geopolitical Risk -3.28% -8.82% +4.89% -8.01%
2026-02-28 GOOGL / Alphabet 3 things we will never know after Netflix pulled out of the Warner Bros. bidding, handing it to Paramount Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: GOOGLAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Geopolitical Risk -1.66% -12.21% +22.08% +11.51%
2026-02-26 AAPL / Apple Netflix or Paramount: who would be the best new owner of Warner Bros? Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Geopolitical Risk -4.64% -9.64% +13.99% +4.82%
2026-02-23 TSLA / Tesla Qualcomm joins hunt for Korean next-gen semiconductor talent Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: TSLAAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Geopolitical Risk +0.87% -3.47% +8.44% -1.85%
2026-02-19 XOM / Exxon Mobil YPF chief readies war chest for shale push as Milei bolsters oil Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: XOMAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Geopolitical Risk -1.61% +6.73% +4.22% -4.37%
2026-02-16 TSLA / Tesla Alibaba Faces Pentagon Scrutiny While Advancing Qwen 3.5 AI Ambitions Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: TSLAAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Geopolitical Risk -4.22% -5.91% -1.78% -10.43%
2025-12-31 AMZN / Amazon JD.com Inc Is Quietly Eating Amazon’s Lunch – But Should You Bet Your Money On It? Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AMZNAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Geopolitical Risk +4.65% +3.67% -9.77% -5.40%
2025-12-05 TSLA / Tesla Tesla Strikes Back: New Model 3 Launch Heats Up EV Price War in Europe Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: TSLAAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Geopolitical Risk +0.87% -0.73% -10.87% -10.52%
2025-12-02 AAPL / Apple From hey Siri to hey Subbu? Apple hires Amar Subramanya, taking a bite out of Google via Microsoft Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Geopolitical Risk -3.15% -5.30% -7.42% -8.42%
2025-12-01 AMZN / Amazon Trump Sounds Alarm on Netflix Bid for Warner Bros. Discovery & Could Block The Deal Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AMZNAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Geopolitical Risk -2.99% -1.31% -10.90% -12.10%
2025-12-01 AAPL / Apple Intel to Manufacture Apple’s Low-End M-Series Chips from 2027 Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Geopolitical Risk -1.84% -3.97% -6.40% -7.60%
2025-11-20 AAPL / Apple Hollywood Braces For Epic Bidding War As Paramount, Comcast And Netflix Eye Warner Bros. Discovery— Who Will Call Cut? - Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN) Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Geopolitical Risk +4.73% +1.77% -0.62% -6.11%
2025-11-17 CRWD / CrowdStrike Wells Fargo exec: Cyber is ‘an everybody problem’ Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: CRWDAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Geopolitical Risk -4.33% -11.28% -21.80% -24.68%
2025-11-13 AAPL / Apple Temper Q4 Market Movements With a Low Volatility ETF Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Geopolitical Risk -2.45% +0.43% +1.03% -2.24%
2025-10-22 META / Meta Platforms CHAT: AI Technology Investment Strategy For Long-Term Capital Growth (NYSEARCA:CHAT) Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: METAAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Geopolitical Risk +2.49% -18.97% -17.56% -19.33%
2025-06-09 AAPL / Apple India’s first Aatmanirbhar semiconductor chip is finally here! Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Geopolitical Risk -1.50% +4.81% +18.22% +9.70%
2024-11-22 CVX / Chevron Putin’s pipeline: How the Kremlin outmaneuvered Western oil companies to wrest control of vast flows of Kazakhstan’s crude Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: CVXAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Geopolitical Risk -0.26% -11.94% -1.11% -3.96%
2024-11-19 CVX / Chevron Ukraine’s long range missile attacks on Russia sent crude oil prices upward Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: CVXAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Geopolitical Risk +1.84% -11.56% -1.07% -5.01%
2024-10-02 NOC / Northrop Grumman AeroVironment plans to start producing Switchblade kamikaze drones in Ukraine Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: NOCAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Geopolitical Risk -1.23% -5.92% -12.54% -15.92%
2024-07-22 AAPL / Apple Rumor: Is Apple Plotting a Sound United Buyout From Masimo? Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Geopolitical Risk -2.55% +1.21% +5.71% +0.16%
2023-12-14 LMT / Lockheed Martin Lockheed Martin sues supplier over ‘massive’ price hike Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: LMTAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Geopolitical Risk +0.62% +2.82% -1.68% -11.44%
2023-07-03 NOC / Northrop Grumman How America Broke Its War Machine Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: NOCAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Geopolitical Risk -1.22% -2.33% -3.06% +0.31%
2022-12-13 LMT / Lockheed Martin The 7 Hottest Defense Stocks to Own for 2023 and Beyond Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: LMTAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Geopolitical Risk +1.23% -3.85% +0.02% +3.72%
2022-12-05 XOM / Exxon Mobil Trading firm Trafigura helps Germany secure more natural gas Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: XOMAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Geopolitical Risk -0.71% -0.03% +7.33% +5.65%
2022-12-03 NOC / Northrop Grumman The US Air Force just broke cover on its first new bomber in decades. See photos of the new B-21 Raider. Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: NOCAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Geopolitical Risk -1.91% -0.97% -14.02% -13.81%
2022-12-03 LMT / Lockheed Martin Exclusive: The Making of the U.S. Military’s New Stealth Bomber Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: LMTAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Geopolitical Risk -2.00% -3.77% -3.09% -2.88%
2019-12-20 AVGO / Broadcom Inc. Broadcom Inc. SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2019-12-20) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AVGO Commodity Price Pressure -0.77% -3.43% -39.04% -14.03%
2019-12-09 F / Ford Motor Company Ford Motor Company SEC 8-K trade-war regime disclosure (2019-12-09) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: F Commodity Price Pressure +4.22% +2.66% -33.40% -21.20%
2019-11-14 NVDA / NVIDIA Corporation NVIDIA Corporation SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2019-11-14) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: NVDA Commodity Price Pressure +0.19% +7.40% +30.01% +20.47%
2019-11-06 QCOM / QUALCOMM Incorporated QUALCOMM Incorporated SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2019-11-06) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: QCOM Commodity Price Pressure +6.90% -0.19% +5.90% -1.78%
2019-10-30 AMD / Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2019-10-30) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AMD Commodity Price Pressure +8.45% +18.17% +52.52% +44.51%
2019-10-29 GM / General Motors Company General Motors Company SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2019-10-29) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: GM Commodity Price Pressure +0.05% -5.78% -11.62% -18.84%
2019-10-10 WMT / Walmart Inc. Walmart Inc. SEC 8-K trade-war regime disclosure (2019-10-10) Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: WMT Geopolitical Risk +0.19% -0.48% -2.45% -13.64%
2019-08-15 NVDA / NVIDIA Corporation NVIDIA Corporation SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2019-08-15) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: NVDA Commodity Price Pressure +15.27% +21.25% +40.34% +31.24%
2019-08-01 GM / General Motors Company General Motors Company SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2019-08-01) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: GM Commodity Price Pressure -0.12% -8.07% -4.63% -8.26%
2019-08-01 MSFT / Microsoft Corporation Microsoft Corporation SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2019-08-01) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: demand-weaknessOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: MSFT Demand Weakness +0.60% -1.14% +5.09% +1.46%
2019-07-31 AMD / Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2019-07-31) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AMD Commodity Price Pressure -4.14% +3.28% +8.47% +6.06%
2019-07-26 AMZN / Amazon.com, Inc. Amazon.com, Inc. SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2019-07-26) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AMZN Commodity Price Pressure -6.17% -8.96% -8.35% -8.27%
2019-07-26 INTC / Intel Corporation Intel Corporation SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2019-07-26) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: INTC Commodity Price Pressure -5.64% -11.09% +1.92% +2.01%
2019-07-16 FDX / FedEx Corporation FedEx Corporation SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2019-07-16) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: FDX Commodity Price Pressure +2.34% -9.99% -13.21% -12.39%
2019-06-20 WMT / Walmart Inc. Walmart Inc. SEC 8-K trade-war regime disclosure (2019-06-20) Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: WMT Geopolitical Risk -0.20% +2.27% +6.72% +4.46%
2019-06-12 F / Ford Motor Company Ford Motor Company SEC 8-K trade-war regime disclosure (2019-06-12) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: F Commodity Price Pressure +1.93% +6.50% -2.94% -6.82%
2019-06-07 WMT / Walmart Inc. Walmart Inc. SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2019-06-07) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: demand-weaknessOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: WMT Demand Weakness +2.84% +6.28% +9.38% +5.34%
2019-05-01 AMD / Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2019-05-01) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AMD Commodity Price Pressure +1.04% +2.24% +26.33% +22.78%
2019-05-01 QCOM / QUALCOMM Incorporated QUALCOMM Incorporated SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2019-05-01) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: QCOM Commodity Price Pressure -2.12% -22.64% -12.59% -16.15%
2019-04-30 GM / General Motors Company General Motors Company SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2019-04-30) Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: GM Geopolitical Risk -1.08% -10.60% +5.56% +2.53%
2019-04-26 AMZN / Amazon.com, Inc. Amazon.com, Inc. SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2019-04-26) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: demand-weaknessOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AMZN Demand Weakness +0.61% -5.85% +1.19% -1.55%
2019-04-26 INTC / Intel Corporation Intel Corporation SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2019-04-26) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: INTC Commodity Price Pressure -1.30% -16.39% +0.09% -2.65%
2019-03-28 WMT / Walmart Inc. Walmart Inc. SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2019-03-28) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: WMT Commodity Price Pressure +1.01% +4.56% +14.02% +10.04%
2019-03-11 NVDA / NVIDIA Corporation NVIDIA Corporation SEC 8-K trade-war regime disclosure (2019-03-11) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: demand-weaknessOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: NVDA Demand Weakness +4.85% +19.21% -7.78% -12.02%
2019-02-22 CVX / Chevron Corporation Chevron Corporation SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2019-02-22) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: CVX Commodity Price Pressure +2.21% +2.93% -0.30% -1.82%
2019-02-21 NVDA / NVIDIA Corporation NVIDIA Corporation SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2019-02-21) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: NVDA Commodity Price Pressure -0.87% +11.68% -2.19% -5.60%
2019-02-08 HON / Honeywell International Inc. Honeywell International Inc. SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2019-02-08) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: HON Commodity Price Pressure +3.17% +3.63% +15.27% +8.81%
2019-02-08 AMD / Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2019-02-08) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AMD Commodity Price Pressure +2.73% -0.39% +18.05% +11.60%
2019-02-06 GM / General Motors Company General Motors Company SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2019-02-06) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: GM Commodity Price Pressure -2.28% -3.87% -2.50% -8.53%
2019-02-01 AMZN / Amazon.com, Inc. Amazon.com, Inc. SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2019-02-01) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AMZN Commodity Price Pressure -2.34% +4.30% +16.89% +8.59%
2019-02-01 INTC / Intel Corporation Intel Corporation SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2019-02-01) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: INTC Commodity Price Pressure +0.86% +11.39% +4.39% -3.90%
2019-01-30 QCOM / QUALCOMM Incorporated QUALCOMM Incorporated SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2019-01-30) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: QCOM Commodity Price Pressure +1.85% +8.03% +73.67% +63.31%
2018-12-21 AVGO / Broadcom Inc. Broadcom Inc. SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2018-12-21) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AVGO Commodity Price Pressure +3.54% +5.46% +22.27% +3.46%
2018-12-17 DE / Deere & Company Deere & Company SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2018-12-17) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: DE Commodity Price Pressure -5.96% +8.32% +10.31% -1.39%
2018-11-30 WMT / Walmart Inc. Walmart Inc. SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-11-30) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: demand-weaknessOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: WMT Demand Weakness -4.05% -4.09% +1.93% +0.24%
2018-11-07 QCOM / QUALCOMM Incorporated QUALCOMM Incorporated SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2018-11-07) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: QCOM Commodity Price Pressure -14.67% -10.46% -18.87% -16.63%
2018-11-05 AAPL / Apple Inc. Apple Inc. SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2018-11-05) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPL Commodity Price Pressure -3.34% -13.03% -14.75% -14.81%
2018-10-31 AMD / Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-10-31) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AMD Commodity Price Pressure +19.93% +16.97% +5.71% +7.81%
2018-10-30 COP / ConocoPhillips ConocoPhillips SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-10-30) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: COP Commodity Price Pressure -0.03% -3.81% -6.00% -5.08%
2018-10-26 AMZN / Amazon.com, Inc. Amazon.com, Inc. SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-10-26) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: demand-weaknessOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AMZN Demand Weakness +1.38% -3.74% +0.74% +0.83%
2018-10-19 HON / Honeywell International Inc. Honeywell International Inc. SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-10-19) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: HON Commodity Price Pressure -4.84% -0.28% -5.41% -1.16%
2018-10-03 GM / General Motors Company General Motors Company SEC 8-K trade-war regime disclosure (2018-10-03) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: GM Commodity Price Pressure -4.12% +5.97% -0.02% +13.72%
2018-09-06 WMT / Walmart Inc. Walmart Inc. SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-09-06) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: demand-weaknessOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: WMT Demand Weakness -1.38% -1.82% -1.21% +4.73%
2018-09-06 F / Ford Motor Company Ford Motor Company SEC 8-K trade-war regime disclosure (2018-09-06) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: F Commodity Price Pressure -0.64% -1.80% -2.63% +3.30%
2018-09-05 GM / General Motors Company General Motors Company SEC 8-K trade-war regime disclosure (2018-09-05) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: GM Commodity Price Pressure -2.43% -2.26% +4.61% +10.69%
2018-08-03 MSFT / Microsoft Corporation Microsoft Corporation SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2018-08-03) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: demand-weaknessOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: MSFT Demand Weakness +0.89% +3.79% -1.59% +1.54%
2018-08-02 AMD / Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-08-02) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AMD Commodity Price Pressure +1.65% +49.33% -3.09% +0.64%
2018-07-31 COP / ConocoPhillips ConocoPhillips SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-07-31) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: COP Commodity Price Pressure +1.01% +1.93% -6.29% -0.50%
2018-07-27 GE / General Electric Company General Electric Company SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-07-27) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: GE Commodity Price Pressure +0.61% -2.22% -8.79% -5.19%
2018-07-27 AMZN / Amazon.com, Inc. Amazon.com, Inc. SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-07-27) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: demand-weaknessOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AMZN Demand Weakness +0.33% +6.08% -1.93% +1.66%
2018-07-25 QCOM / QUALCOMM Incorporated QUALCOMM Incorporated SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-07-25) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: QCOM Commodity Price Pressure +8.30% +13.01% +12.73% +15.96%
2018-07-20 HON / Honeywell International Inc. Honeywell International Inc. SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-07-20) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: HON Commodity Price Pressure +4.06% +2.02% +2.96% +3.69%
2018-07-16 FDX / FedEx Corporation FedEx Corporation SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2018-07-16) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: FDX Commodity Price Pressure +2.70% +5.78% -3.73% -2.40%
2018-06-04 WMT / Walmart Inc. Walmart Inc. SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-06-04) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: demand-weaknessOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: WMT Demand Weakness -1.31% -1.00% +12.29% +6.39%
2018-05-31 GM / General Motors Company General Motors Company SEC 8-K trade-war regime disclosure (2018-05-31) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: GM Commodity Price Pressure +3.97% -6.69% -12.31% -20.37%
2018-05-22 NVDA / NVIDIA Corporation NVIDIA Corporation SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-05-22) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: NVDA Commodity Price Pressure +2.49% +6.00% +2.18% -3.08%
2018-05-03 AMD / Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-05-03) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AMD Commodity Price Pressure +10.98% +35.86% +69.08% +61.65%
2018-05-02 CAT / Caterpillar Inc. Caterpillar Inc. SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-05-02) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: CAT Commodity Price Pressure +6.08% +6.71% +0.57% -6.80%
2018-05-01 COP / ConocoPhillips ConocoPhillips SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-05-01) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: COP Commodity Price Pressure +3.09% +2.98% +10.89% +4.77%
2018-05-01 GE / General Electric Company General Electric Company SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-05-01) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: GE Commodity Price Pressure +1.57% +0.21% -5.50% -11.63%
2018-04-27 AMZN / Amazon.com, Inc. Amazon.com, Inc. SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-04-27) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: demand-weaknessOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AMZN Demand Weakness +0.53% +2.56% +14.97% +8.20%
2018-04-27 INTC / Intel Corporation Intel Corporation SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-04-27) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: INTC Commodity Price Pressure +0.67% +5.52% -0.51% -7.28%
2018-04-26 GM / General Motors Company General Motors Company SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-04-26) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: GM Commodity Price Pressure -5.49% -2.27% -0.71% -7.84%
2018-04-25 QCOM / QUALCOMM Incorporated QUALCOMM Incorporated SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-04-25) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: QCOM Commodity Price Pressure +1.03% +20.52% +19.53% +12.23%
2018-04-20 HON / Honeywell International Inc. Honeywell International Inc. SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-04-20) Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: HON Commodity Price Pressure -2.42% +0.45% -1.52% -7.01%

Historical observation only. This workspace does not provide investment advice, forecasts, price targets, buy/sell ratings, or claims of causation.

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