Geopolitical Risk
Historical signal intelligence based on stored Merrowstone event memory and outcome observations. Results are ordered and labelled from existing database evidence only.
Signal Intelligence Summary
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Historical Events Timeline
Direct matches are shown separately from co-signal observations. Pending outcome windows are labelled rather than shown as broken data.
| Date | Company | Headline | Why related? | Primary Signal | 7d Return | 30d Return | 90d Return | Relative 90d Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Direct Signal MatchesThe selected signal is the primary or directly attributed signal. | ||||||||
| 2026-03-11 | MSFT / Microsoft | 'Legitimate targets': Iran issues warning to US tech firms including Google, Amazon, Microsoft, Nvidia | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: MSFTAttribution confidence: 0.79Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity co… | Geopolitical Risk | -3.23% | -8.40% | -0.15% | -9.42% |
| 2026-03-05 | AMZN / Amazon | Jim Cramer Says Oil Sell-Off Is Green Light For New Bull Market Even As Exxon Mobil, ConocoPhillips Shares Slide | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AMZNAttribution confidence: 0.79Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity co… | Geopolitical Risk | -4.30% | -2.81% | +14.20% | +3.19% |
| 2023-12-11 | CVX / Chevron | Chevron CEO Sees Venezuela-Guyana Talks More Likely Than War | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: CVXAttribution confidence: 0.79Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity co… | Geopolitical Risk | +3.69% | +0.10% | +6.45% | -4.67% |
| 2026-03-16 | XOM / Exxon Mobil | Drone strike sparks fire at UAE’s Shah gas field operated by ADNOC, Occidental | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: XOMAttribution confidence: 0.60Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity co… | Geopolitical Risk | +2.48% | -5.23% | -9.77% | -22.90% |
| 2026-03-06 | XOM / Exxon Mobil | TPET Stock Jumps 60% Pre-Market – Retail Sees Nearly 10x Gains By The End Of The War In Middle East | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: XOMAttribution confidence: 0.60Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity co… | Geopolitical Risk | +3.25% | +8.04% | +1.23% | -11.67% |
| 2026-03-03 | XOM / Exxon Mobil | Best stocks to buy now as US-Iran war escalates in Middle East | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: XOMAttribution confidence: 0.60Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity co… | Geopolitical Risk | -2.44% | +5.84% | -0.95% | -12.75% |
| 2026-03-27 | CRWD / CrowdStrike | Stock Market Today: SPY, QQQ Drop to YTD Low as Iran War Nears One-Month Mark | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: CRWDAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity co… | Geopolitical Risk | +7.85% | +23.01% | +83.63% | +67.53% |
| 2026-03-16 | NVDA / Nvidia | UK consumers hit by worries over war in Iran, S&P Global says By Reuters | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: NVDAAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity co… | Geopolitical Risk | -4.14% | +8.54% | +16.09% | +2.96% |
| 2026-03-13 | JPM / JPMorgan Chase | US STOCKS-Wall St ends sharply lower as intensifying Iran war, soaring crude prompt selloff | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: JPMAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity co… | Geopolitical Risk | +1.10% | +11.24% | +11.17% | -0.53% |
| 2026-03-13 | JPM / JPMorgan Chase | US STOCKS-Wall St ends sharply lower as Iran war intensifies, crude price soars | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: JPMAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity co… | Geopolitical Risk | +1.10% | +11.24% | +11.17% | -0.53% |
| 2026-03-13 | JPM / JPMorgan Chase | JPMorgan, Partners Group Cancel UAE Events as War Drags On | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: JPMAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity co… | Geopolitical Risk | +1.10% | +11.24% | +11.17% | -0.53% |
| 2026-03-12 | XOM / Exxon Mobil | Commodities Lead Major Asset Classes by Wide Margin This Year | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: XOMAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity co… | Geopolitical Risk | +3.02% | -0.58% | -1.23% | -10.44% |
| 2026-03-12 | AAPL / Apple | What Is Going On With Apple Stock On Thursday? | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity co… | Geopolitical Risk | -2.66% | +1.35% | +14.11% | +4.90% |
| 2026-03-11 | XOM / Exxon Mobil | War-driven energy price spike increases risk of central bank policy errors | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: XOMAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity co… | Geopolitical Risk | +3.96% | +0.61% | -1.09% | -10.37% |
| 2026-03-10 | XOM / Exxon Mobil | Energy Production Won’t Bounce Back Quickly, S&P Global’s Yergin Warns | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: XOMAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity co… | Geopolitical Risk | +7.21% | +4.66% | +3.14% | -6.32% |
| 2026-03-06 | XOM / Exxon Mobil | Trump Shrugs Off Oil Prices At $88: 'If They Rise, They Rise'—What Do Prediction Markets Say? | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: XOMAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity co… | Geopolitical Risk | +3.25% | +8.04% | +1.23% | -11.67% |
| 2026-03-04 | TSLA / Tesla | US Stocks Rise, Oil Prices Stabilize as Iran War Escalates | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: TSLAAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity co… | Geopolitical Risk | +0.46% | -13.09% | +4.38% | -6.78% |
| 2026-03-03 | XOM / Exxon Mobil | TPET Stock Jumps 60% Pre-Market – Retail Sees Nearly 10x Gains By The End Of The War In Middle East | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: XOMAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity co… | Geopolitical Risk | -2.44% | +5.84% | -0.95% | -12.75% |
| 2026-03-03 | CRWD / CrowdStrike | Rio Tinto stock drops 2% in London as war jitters bite; investors eye what’s next | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: CRWDAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity co… | Geopolitical Risk | +11.47% | +1.97% | +99.83% | +88.03% |
| 2025-03-28 | AAPL / Apple | Asia Markets Mixed, Europe Falls On Auto Tariff Concerns And Gold Hits All-Time High - Global Markets Tod | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity co… | Geopolitical Risk | -13.55% | -3.56% | -7.63% | -18.08% |
| 2025-02-06 | AAPL / Apple | How Calvin Klein and Tommy Hilfiger got caught in Trump's trade war with China | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity co… | Geopolitical Risk | +3.68% | -2.35% | -15.76% | -8.59% |
| 2022-12-12 | NOC / Northrop Grumman | Radar Link Market to Hit USD 2.73 Billion by 2029 | | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: NOCAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity co… | Geopolitical Risk | -0.50% | -7.89% | -14.16% | -11.20% |
| 2026-03-13 | CRWD / CrowdStrike | Beyond Defense: Why Are Cyber ETFs the Hottest War Trade Right Now? | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: CRWDAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity co… | Geopolitical Risk | -7.42% | -8.95% | +56.53% | +44.83% |
| 2026-03-16 | AAPL / Apple | Walmart’s PhonePe Says War Has Halted IPO Plans | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. | Geopolitical Risk | -0.53% | +5.38% | +17.35% | +4.22% |
| 2026-03-13 | AMZN / Amazon | From Amazon to Airbnb, US Blue-Chip Bond Sales Flirt With Record | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AMZNAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. | Geopolitical Risk | -1.11% | +15.52% | +16.30% | +4.60% |
| 2026-03-13 | NVDA / Nvidia | Taiwan's Foundry Model: The Global Chip Industry's Central Hub in 2026 - News and Statistics | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: NVDAAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. | Geopolitical Risk | -4.19% | +5.03% | +13.79% | +2.09% |
| 2026-03-11 | MSFT / Microsoft | Leidos to modernize and secure U.S. Air Force cloud operations for faster, safer mission readiness | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: MSFTAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. | Geopolitical Risk | -3.23% | -8.40% | -0.15% | -9.42% |
| 2026-03-10 | AAPL / Apple | Silicon South: Apple Hits 25% Manufacturing Milestone in India as iPhone 17 Pro Production Scales Up | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. | Geopolitical Risk | -2.53% | -0.13% | +15.71% | +6.25% |
| 2026-03-06 | MSFT / Microsoft | Microsoft says Anthropic's products can remain available to customers after supply chain risk designation | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: MSFTAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. | Geopolitical Risk | -3.28% | -8.82% | +4.89% | -8.01% |
| 2026-03-06 | MSFT / Microsoft | Microsoft says Anthropic products remain available to customers despite Pentagon blacklist (MSFT:NASDAQ) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: MSFTAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. | Geopolitical Risk | -3.28% | -8.82% | +4.89% | -8.01% |
| 2026-02-28 | GOOGL / Alphabet | 3 things we will never know after Netflix pulled out of the Warner Bros. bidding, handing it to Paramount | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: GOOGLAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. | Geopolitical Risk | -1.66% | -12.21% | +22.08% | +11.51% |
| 2026-02-26 | AAPL / Apple | Netflix or Paramount: who would be the best new owner of Warner Bros? | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. | Geopolitical Risk | -4.64% | -9.64% | +13.99% | +4.82% |
| 2026-02-23 | TSLA / Tesla | Qualcomm joins hunt for Korean next-gen semiconductor talent | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: TSLAAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. | Geopolitical Risk | +0.87% | -3.47% | +8.44% | -1.85% |
| 2026-02-19 | XOM / Exxon Mobil | YPF chief readies war chest for shale push as Milei bolsters oil | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: XOMAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. | Geopolitical Risk | -1.61% | +6.73% | +4.22% | -4.37% |
| 2026-02-16 | TSLA / Tesla | Alibaba Faces Pentagon Scrutiny While Advancing Qwen 3.5 AI Ambitions | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: TSLAAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. | Geopolitical Risk | -4.22% | -5.91% | -1.78% | -10.43% |
| 2025-12-31 | AMZN / Amazon | JD.com Inc Is Quietly Eating Amazon’s Lunch – But Should You Bet Your Money On It? | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AMZNAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. | Geopolitical Risk | +4.65% | +3.67% | -9.77% | -5.40% |
| 2025-12-05 | TSLA / Tesla | Tesla Strikes Back: New Model 3 Launch Heats Up EV Price War in Europe | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: TSLAAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. | Geopolitical Risk | +0.87% | -0.73% | -10.87% | -10.52% |
| 2025-12-02 | AAPL / Apple | From hey Siri to hey Subbu? Apple hires Amar Subramanya, taking a bite out of Google via Microsoft | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. | Geopolitical Risk | -3.15% | -5.30% | -7.42% | -8.42% |
| 2025-12-01 | AMZN / Amazon | Trump Sounds Alarm on Netflix Bid for Warner Bros. Discovery & Could Block The Deal | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AMZNAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. | Geopolitical Risk | -2.99% | -1.31% | -10.90% | -12.10% |
| 2025-12-01 | AAPL / Apple | Intel to Manufacture Apple’s Low-End M-Series Chips from 2027 | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. | Geopolitical Risk | -1.84% | -3.97% | -6.40% | -7.60% |
| 2025-11-20 | AAPL / Apple | Hollywood Braces For Epic Bidding War As Paramount, Comcast And Netflix Eye Warner Bros. Discovery— Who Will Call Cut? - Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. | Geopolitical Risk | +4.73% | +1.77% | -0.62% | -6.11% |
| 2025-11-17 | CRWD / CrowdStrike | Wells Fargo exec: Cyber is ‘an everybody problem’ | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: CRWDAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. | Geopolitical Risk | -4.33% | -11.28% | -21.80% | -24.68% |
| 2025-11-13 | AAPL / Apple | Temper Q4 Market Movements With a Low Volatility ETF | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. | Geopolitical Risk | -2.45% | +0.43% | +1.03% | -2.24% |
| 2025-10-22 | META / Meta Platforms | CHAT: AI Technology Investment Strategy For Long-Term Capital Growth (NYSEARCA:CHAT) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: METAAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. | Geopolitical Risk | +2.49% | -18.97% | -17.56% | -19.33% |
| 2025-06-09 | AAPL / Apple | India’s first Aatmanirbhar semiconductor chip is finally here! | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. | Geopolitical Risk | -1.50% | +4.81% | +18.22% | +9.70% |
| 2024-11-22 | CVX / Chevron | Putin’s pipeline: How the Kremlin outmaneuvered Western oil companies to wrest control of vast flows of Kazakhstan’s crude | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: CVXAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. | Geopolitical Risk | -0.26% | -11.94% | -1.11% | -3.96% |
| 2024-11-19 | CVX / Chevron | Ukraine’s long range missile attacks on Russia sent crude oil prices upward | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: CVXAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. | Geopolitical Risk | +1.84% | -11.56% | -1.07% | -5.01% |
| 2024-10-02 | NOC / Northrop Grumman | AeroVironment plans to start producing Switchblade kamikaze drones in Ukraine | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: NOCAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. | Geopolitical Risk | -1.23% | -5.92% | -12.54% | -15.92% |
| 2024-07-22 | AAPL / Apple | Rumor: Is Apple Plotting a Sound United Buyout From Masimo? | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. | Geopolitical Risk | -2.55% | +1.21% | +5.71% | +0.16% |
| 2023-12-14 | LMT / Lockheed Martin | Lockheed Martin sues supplier over ‘massive’ price hike | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: LMTAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. | Geopolitical Risk | +0.62% | +2.82% | -1.68% | -11.44% |
| 2023-07-03 | NOC / Northrop Grumman | How America Broke Its War Machine | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: NOCAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. | Geopolitical Risk | -1.22% | -2.33% | -3.06% | +0.31% |
| 2022-12-13 | LMT / Lockheed Martin | The 7 Hottest Defense Stocks to Own for 2023 and Beyond | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: LMTAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. | Geopolitical Risk | +1.23% | -3.85% | +0.02% | +3.72% |
| 2022-12-05 | XOM / Exxon Mobil | Trading firm Trafigura helps Germany secure more natural gas | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: XOMAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. | Geopolitical Risk | -0.71% | -0.03% | +7.33% | +5.65% |
| 2022-12-03 | NOC / Northrop Grumman | The US Air Force just broke cover on its first new bomber in decades. See photos of the new B-21 Raider. | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: NOCAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. | Geopolitical Risk | -1.91% | -0.97% | -14.02% | -13.81% |
| 2022-12-03 | LMT / Lockheed Martin | Exclusive: The Making of the U.S. Military’s New Stealth Bomber | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: LMTAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. | Geopolitical Risk | -2.00% | -3.77% | -3.09% | -2.88% |
| 2019-12-20 | AVGO / Broadcom Inc. | Broadcom Inc. SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2019-12-20) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AVGO | Commodity Price Pressure | -0.77% | -3.43% | -39.04% | -14.03% |
| 2019-12-09 | F / Ford Motor Company | Ford Motor Company SEC 8-K trade-war regime disclosure (2019-12-09) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: F | Commodity Price Pressure | +4.22% | +2.66% | -33.40% | -21.20% |
| 2019-11-14 | NVDA / NVIDIA Corporation | NVIDIA Corporation SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2019-11-14) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: NVDA | Commodity Price Pressure | +0.19% | +7.40% | +30.01% | +20.47% |
| 2019-11-06 | QCOM / QUALCOMM Incorporated | QUALCOMM Incorporated SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2019-11-06) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: QCOM | Commodity Price Pressure | +6.90% | -0.19% | +5.90% | -1.78% |
| 2019-10-30 | AMD / Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. | Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2019-10-30) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AMD | Commodity Price Pressure | +8.45% | +18.17% | +52.52% | +44.51% |
| 2019-10-29 | GM / General Motors Company | General Motors Company SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2019-10-29) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: GM | Commodity Price Pressure | +0.05% | -5.78% | -11.62% | -18.84% |
| 2019-10-10 | WMT / Walmart Inc. | Walmart Inc. SEC 8-K trade-war regime disclosure (2019-10-10) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: WMT | Geopolitical Risk | +0.19% | -0.48% | -2.45% | -13.64% |
| 2019-08-15 | NVDA / NVIDIA Corporation | NVIDIA Corporation SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2019-08-15) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: NVDA | Commodity Price Pressure | +15.27% | +21.25% | +40.34% | +31.24% |
| 2019-08-01 | GM / General Motors Company | General Motors Company SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2019-08-01) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: GM | Commodity Price Pressure | -0.12% | -8.07% | -4.63% | -8.26% |
| 2019-08-01 | MSFT / Microsoft Corporation | Microsoft Corporation SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2019-08-01) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: demand-weaknessOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: MSFT | Demand Weakness | +0.60% | -1.14% | +5.09% | +1.46% |
| 2019-07-31 | AMD / Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. | Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2019-07-31) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AMD | Commodity Price Pressure | -4.14% | +3.28% | +8.47% | +6.06% |
| 2019-07-26 | AMZN / Amazon.com, Inc. | Amazon.com, Inc. SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2019-07-26) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AMZN | Commodity Price Pressure | -6.17% | -8.96% | -8.35% | -8.27% |
| 2019-07-26 | INTC / Intel Corporation | Intel Corporation SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2019-07-26) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: INTC | Commodity Price Pressure | -5.64% | -11.09% | +1.92% | +2.01% |
| 2019-07-16 | FDX / FedEx Corporation | FedEx Corporation SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2019-07-16) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: FDX | Commodity Price Pressure | +2.34% | -9.99% | -13.21% | -12.39% |
| 2019-06-20 | WMT / Walmart Inc. | Walmart Inc. SEC 8-K trade-war regime disclosure (2019-06-20) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: WMT | Geopolitical Risk | -0.20% | +2.27% | +6.72% | +4.46% |
| 2019-06-12 | F / Ford Motor Company | Ford Motor Company SEC 8-K trade-war regime disclosure (2019-06-12) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: F | Commodity Price Pressure | +1.93% | +6.50% | -2.94% | -6.82% |
| 2019-06-07 | WMT / Walmart Inc. | Walmart Inc. SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2019-06-07) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: demand-weaknessOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: WMT | Demand Weakness | +2.84% | +6.28% | +9.38% | +5.34% |
| 2019-05-01 | AMD / Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. | Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2019-05-01) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AMD | Commodity Price Pressure | +1.04% | +2.24% | +26.33% | +22.78% |
| 2019-05-01 | QCOM / QUALCOMM Incorporated | QUALCOMM Incorporated SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2019-05-01) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: QCOM | Commodity Price Pressure | -2.12% | -22.64% | -12.59% | -16.15% |
| 2019-04-30 | GM / General Motors Company | General Motors Company SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2019-04-30) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: GM | Geopolitical Risk | -1.08% | -10.60% | +5.56% | +2.53% |
| 2019-04-26 | AMZN / Amazon.com, Inc. | Amazon.com, Inc. SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2019-04-26) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: demand-weaknessOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AMZN | Demand Weakness | +0.61% | -5.85% | +1.19% | -1.55% |
| 2019-04-26 | INTC / Intel Corporation | Intel Corporation SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2019-04-26) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: INTC | Commodity Price Pressure | -1.30% | -16.39% | +0.09% | -2.65% |
| 2019-03-28 | WMT / Walmart Inc. | Walmart Inc. SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2019-03-28) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: WMT | Commodity Price Pressure | +1.01% | +4.56% | +14.02% | +10.04% |
| 2019-03-11 | NVDA / NVIDIA Corporation | NVIDIA Corporation SEC 8-K trade-war regime disclosure (2019-03-11) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: demand-weaknessOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: NVDA | Demand Weakness | +4.85% | +19.21% | -7.78% | -12.02% |
| 2019-02-22 | CVX / Chevron Corporation | Chevron Corporation SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2019-02-22) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: CVX | Commodity Price Pressure | +2.21% | +2.93% | -0.30% | -1.82% |
| 2019-02-21 | NVDA / NVIDIA Corporation | NVIDIA Corporation SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2019-02-21) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: NVDA | Commodity Price Pressure | -0.87% | +11.68% | -2.19% | -5.60% |
| 2019-02-08 | HON / Honeywell International Inc. | Honeywell International Inc. SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2019-02-08) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: HON | Commodity Price Pressure | +3.17% | +3.63% | +15.27% | +8.81% |
| 2019-02-08 | AMD / Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. | Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2019-02-08) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AMD | Commodity Price Pressure | +2.73% | -0.39% | +18.05% | +11.60% |
| 2019-02-06 | GM / General Motors Company | General Motors Company SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2019-02-06) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: GM | Commodity Price Pressure | -2.28% | -3.87% | -2.50% | -8.53% |
| 2019-02-01 | AMZN / Amazon.com, Inc. | Amazon.com, Inc. SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2019-02-01) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AMZN | Commodity Price Pressure | -2.34% | +4.30% | +16.89% | +8.59% |
| 2019-02-01 | INTC / Intel Corporation | Intel Corporation SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2019-02-01) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: INTC | Commodity Price Pressure | +0.86% | +11.39% | +4.39% | -3.90% |
| 2019-01-30 | QCOM / QUALCOMM Incorporated | QUALCOMM Incorporated SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2019-01-30) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: QCOM | Commodity Price Pressure | +1.85% | +8.03% | +73.67% | +63.31% |
| 2018-12-21 | AVGO / Broadcom Inc. | Broadcom Inc. SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2018-12-21) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AVGO | Commodity Price Pressure | +3.54% | +5.46% | +22.27% | +3.46% |
| 2018-12-17 | DE / Deere & Company | Deere & Company SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2018-12-17) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: DE | Commodity Price Pressure | -5.96% | +8.32% | +10.31% | -1.39% |
| 2018-11-30 | WMT / Walmart Inc. | Walmart Inc. SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-11-30) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: demand-weaknessOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: WMT | Demand Weakness | -4.05% | -4.09% | +1.93% | +0.24% |
| 2018-11-07 | QCOM / QUALCOMM Incorporated | QUALCOMM Incorporated SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2018-11-07) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: QCOM | Commodity Price Pressure | -14.67% | -10.46% | -18.87% | -16.63% |
| 2018-11-05 | AAPL / Apple Inc. | Apple Inc. SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2018-11-05) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPL | Commodity Price Pressure | -3.34% | -13.03% | -14.75% | -14.81% |
| 2018-10-31 | AMD / Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. | Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-10-31) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AMD | Commodity Price Pressure | +19.93% | +16.97% | +5.71% | +7.81% |
| 2018-10-30 | COP / ConocoPhillips | ConocoPhillips SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-10-30) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: COP | Commodity Price Pressure | -0.03% | -3.81% | -6.00% | -5.08% |
| 2018-10-26 | AMZN / Amazon.com, Inc. | Amazon.com, Inc. SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-10-26) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: demand-weaknessOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AMZN | Demand Weakness | +1.38% | -3.74% | +0.74% | +0.83% |
| 2018-10-19 | HON / Honeywell International Inc. | Honeywell International Inc. SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-10-19) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: HON | Commodity Price Pressure | -4.84% | -0.28% | -5.41% | -1.16% |
| 2018-10-03 | GM / General Motors Company | General Motors Company SEC 8-K trade-war regime disclosure (2018-10-03) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: GM | Commodity Price Pressure | -4.12% | +5.97% | -0.02% | +13.72% |
| 2018-09-06 | WMT / Walmart Inc. | Walmart Inc. SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-09-06) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: demand-weaknessOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: WMT | Demand Weakness | -1.38% | -1.82% | -1.21% | +4.73% |
| 2018-09-06 | F / Ford Motor Company | Ford Motor Company SEC 8-K trade-war regime disclosure (2018-09-06) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: F | Commodity Price Pressure | -0.64% | -1.80% | -2.63% | +3.30% |
| 2018-09-05 | GM / General Motors Company | General Motors Company SEC 8-K trade-war regime disclosure (2018-09-05) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: GM | Commodity Price Pressure | -2.43% | -2.26% | +4.61% | +10.69% |
| 2018-08-03 | MSFT / Microsoft Corporation | Microsoft Corporation SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2018-08-03) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: demand-weaknessOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: MSFT | Demand Weakness | +0.89% | +3.79% | -1.59% | +1.54% |
| 2018-08-02 | AMD / Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. | Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-08-02) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AMD | Commodity Price Pressure | +1.65% | +49.33% | -3.09% | +0.64% |
| 2018-07-31 | COP / ConocoPhillips | ConocoPhillips SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-07-31) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: COP | Commodity Price Pressure | +1.01% | +1.93% | -6.29% | -0.50% |
| 2018-07-27 | GE / General Electric Company | General Electric Company SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-07-27) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: GE | Commodity Price Pressure | +0.61% | -2.22% | -8.79% | -5.19% |
| 2018-07-27 | AMZN / Amazon.com, Inc. | Amazon.com, Inc. SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-07-27) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: demand-weaknessOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AMZN | Demand Weakness | +0.33% | +6.08% | -1.93% | +1.66% |
| 2018-07-25 | QCOM / QUALCOMM Incorporated | QUALCOMM Incorporated SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-07-25) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: QCOM | Commodity Price Pressure | +8.30% | +13.01% | +12.73% | +15.96% |
| 2018-07-20 | HON / Honeywell International Inc. | Honeywell International Inc. SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-07-20) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: HON | Commodity Price Pressure | +4.06% | +2.02% | +2.96% | +3.69% |
| 2018-07-16 | FDX / FedEx Corporation | FedEx Corporation SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2018-07-16) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: FDX | Commodity Price Pressure | +2.70% | +5.78% | -3.73% | -2.40% |
| 2018-06-04 | WMT / Walmart Inc. | Walmart Inc. SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-06-04) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: demand-weaknessOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: WMT | Demand Weakness | -1.31% | -1.00% | +12.29% | +6.39% |
| 2018-05-31 | GM / General Motors Company | General Motors Company SEC 8-K trade-war regime disclosure (2018-05-31) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: GM | Commodity Price Pressure | +3.97% | -6.69% | -12.31% | -20.37% |
| 2018-05-22 | NVDA / NVIDIA Corporation | NVIDIA Corporation SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-05-22) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: NVDA | Commodity Price Pressure | +2.49% | +6.00% | +2.18% | -3.08% |
| 2018-05-03 | AMD / Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. | Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-05-03) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AMD | Commodity Price Pressure | +10.98% | +35.86% | +69.08% | +61.65% |
| 2018-05-02 | CAT / Caterpillar Inc. | Caterpillar Inc. SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-05-02) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: CAT | Commodity Price Pressure | +6.08% | +6.71% | +0.57% | -6.80% |
| 2018-05-01 | COP / ConocoPhillips | ConocoPhillips SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-05-01) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: COP | Commodity Price Pressure | +3.09% | +2.98% | +10.89% | +4.77% |
| 2018-05-01 | GE / General Electric Company | General Electric Company SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-05-01) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: GE | Commodity Price Pressure | +1.57% | +0.21% | -5.50% | -11.63% |
| 2018-04-27 | AMZN / Amazon.com, Inc. | Amazon.com, Inc. SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-04-27) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: demand-weaknessOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AMZN | Demand Weakness | +0.53% | +2.56% | +14.97% | +8.20% |
| 2018-04-27 | INTC / Intel Corporation | Intel Corporation SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-04-27) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: INTC | Commodity Price Pressure | +0.67% | +5.52% | -0.51% | -7.28% |
| 2018-04-26 | GM / General Motors Company | General Motors Company SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-04-26) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: GM | Commodity Price Pressure | -5.49% | -2.27% | -0.71% | -7.84% |
| 2018-04-25 | QCOM / QUALCOMM Incorporated | QUALCOMM Incorporated SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-04-25) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: QCOM | Commodity Price Pressure | +1.03% | +20.52% | +19.53% | +12.23% |
| 2018-04-20 | HON / Honeywell International Inc. | Honeywell International Inc. SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-04-20) | Same signal: geopolitical-riskPrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: HON | Commodity Price Pressure | -2.42% | +0.45% | -1.52% | -7.01% |
Historical observation only. This workspace does not provide investment advice, forecasts, price targets, buy/sell ratings, or claims of causation.
