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Merrowstone Signal Intelligence

Deal Risk

Historical signal intelligence based on stored Merrowstone event memory and outcome observations. Results are ordered and labelled from existing database evidence only.

Signal Intelligence Summary

Signal nameDeal Risk
Historical events shown120
First occurrence shown2022-12-02
Most recent occurrence2026-03-23
Average 7d return-0.04%
Average 30d return+1.80%
Average 90d return+8.26%
Average relative 90d return+3.22%
Best observed outcomeAMD 2026-02-24 +135.64% 90d
Worst observed outcomeCRWD 2025-11-02 -19.18% 90d
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Historical Events Timeline

Direct matches are shown separately from co-signal observations. Pending outcome windows are labelled rather than shown as broken data.

Date Company Headline Why related? Primary Signal 7d Return 30d Return 90d Return Relative 90d Return
Direct Signal MatchesThe selected signal is the primary or directly attributed signal.
2026-02-08 XOM / Exxon Mobil California Resources to acquire Aera for $2.1bn Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: XOMAttribution confidence: 0.79Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -1.27% +0.05% +1.09% -6.25%
2026-03-10 CRWD / CrowdStrike Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Stock Surges 5% Following Xanadu Quantum Computing Investment Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: CRWDAttribution confidence: 0.79Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -0.72% -9.55% +50.98% +41.52%
2026-02-27 AMZN / AMAZON COM INC Amazon Com Inc enters material agreement Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AMZNAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +1.53% -4.31% +30.48% +20.18%
2025-10-06 AMD / ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC Advanced Micro Devices Inc enters material agreement Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AMDAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +6.24% +25.83% +8.53% +5.83%
2025-07-23 V / VISA INC. Visa Inc. enters material agreement Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: VAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -1.23% -1.30% -2.10% -8.24%
2025-07-01 MSFT / MICROSOFT CORP Microsoft Corp enters material agreement Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: MSFTAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +0.93% +8.42% +4.75% -3.00%
2026-03-16 JPM / JPMorgan Chase Is Sezzle (SEZL) Quietly Reframing Its Risk Story Amid JPMorgan’s Private Credit Pullback? Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: JPMAttribution confidence: 0.75Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +1.31% +7.46% +12.19% -0.95%
2026-03-16 AMZN / Amazon FedEx to Report Q3 Earnings: Should You Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock? Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AMZNAttribution confidence: 0.75Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -0.76% +17.36% +16.19% +3.06%
2026-03-16 NVDA / Nvidia Oracle Corp Stock (ISIN: US68389X1054) Hits New Highs on Cloud Momentum Amid Analyst Optimism Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: NVDAAttribution confidence: 0.75Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -4.14% +8.54% +16.09% +2.96%
2026-03-16 NVDA / Nvidia Uber rides to add NVIDIA robotaxis in LA, SF and 26 more cities Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: NVDAAttribution confidence: 0.75Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -4.14% +8.54% +16.09% +2.96%
2026-03-16 NVDA / Nvidia NVIDIA to Launch L4 Software-Driven Robotaxis on Uber Across 28 Cities by 2028 Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: NVDAAttribution confidence: 0.75Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -4.14% +8.54% +16.09% +2.96%
2026-03-16 NVDA / Nvidia Uber Stock Darts Higher On Expanded Autonomous Vehicle Partnership With Nvidia Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: NVDAAttribution confidence: 0.75Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -4.14% +8.54% +16.09% +2.96%
2026-03-14 GOOGL / Alphabet ESS Tech outlines $9.9M Air Force contract and Google partnership while targeting energy base ramp in 2027 Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: GOOGLAttribution confidence: 0.75Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -0.07% +6.30% +19.06% +6.76%
2026-03-13 MSFT / Microsoft Applied Materials, Inc. (AMAT) Enhances Manufacturing Capabilities to Capitalize on AI Demand Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: MSFTAttribution confidence: 0.75Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -3.46% -2.83% -1.10% -12.80%
2026-03-13 MSFT / Microsoft €166.94: SAP SE (SAP.DE XETRA) intraday 13 Mar 2026: AI focus hints 12% upside Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: MSFTAttribution confidence: 0.75Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -3.46% -2.83% -1.10% -12.80%
2026-03-07 CRWD / CrowdStrike Ross Stores Surges on Blowout Earnings: Could This Spark a Run to a $213 Target? Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: CRWDAttribution confidence: 0.75Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -1.20% -7.08% +56.42% +46.43%
2026-03-06 GOOGL / Alphabet Waystar Advances AI Innovation with Google Cloud to Accelerate the Autonomous Revenue Cycle Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: GOOGLAttribution confidence: 0.75Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +1.33% +0.56% +24.77% +11.86%
2026-03-05 GOOGL / Alphabet Morgan Stanley changes its Nvidia position for the rest of 2026 Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: GOOGLAttribution confidence: 0.75Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +0.96% -0.23% +19.40% +8.39%
2026-03-05 AMZN / Amazon Cathie Wood Buys What This Billionaire Is Selling: Ark Adds Amazon And Alibaba Stock, Dumps This Chip Giant Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AMZNAttribution confidence: 0.75Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -4.30% -2.81% +14.20% +3.19%
2026-03-04 AAPL / Apple Expanding Into Value Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.75Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -0.65% -1.39% +20.18% +9.01%
2026-03-03 MSFT / Microsoft ZenaTech, Inc. (ZENA) Competitors Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: MSFTAttribution confidence: 0.75Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +0.45% -7.54% +14.26% +2.46%
2026-03-03 AAPL / Apple Does ATRenew’s Vertically Integrated Partnerships with JD.com and Apple Redefine the RERE Investment Narrative? Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.75Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -1.11% -2.97% +16.24% +4.44%
2026-03-02 AAPL / Apple Does ATRenew’s Vertically Integrated Partnerships with JD.com and Apple Redefine the RERE Investment Narrative? Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.75Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -1.83% -3.43% +15.82% +5.00%
2026-03-01 GOOGL / Alphabet Hyperliquid Strategies remains $356M in gains as losses drag down DAT firms Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: GOOGLAttribution confidence: 0.75Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -1.66% -7.70% +20.81% +9.93%
2026-02-27 AAPL / Apple MP Materials Selects Northlake, Texas, as the Site of “10X,” a New U.S. Rare Earth Magnet Manufacturing Campus Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.75Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -2.54% -6.64% +18.40% +8.10%
2026-02-25 TSLA / Tesla See Every Photo We Took of the New 2026 Jeep Cherokee’s Interior Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: TSLAAttribution confidence: 0.75Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -2.75% -13.31% +3.88% -4.70%
2026-02-13 TSLA / Tesla Enphase Energy Expands Home Ecosystem With Bidirectional EV Charging Progress Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: TSLAAttribution confidence: 0.75Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -1.35% -5.24% +6.19% -3.85%
2026-02-13 META / Meta Platforms John Zhang Sells 1,531 Shares of Corning (NYSE:GLW) Stock Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: METAAttribution confidence: 0.75Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +2.48% -1.84% -3.25% -13.30%
2025-12-15 NVDA / Nvidia A Triple Recognition: First Gartner and IDC, and now Frost & Sullivan Name Apiiro an Industry Leader in ASPM and Agentic Application Security Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: NVDAAttribution confidence: 0.75Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +4.20% +3.89% +3.94% +5.37%
2025-12-15 MSFT / Microsoft Tenable Holdings, Inc. Appoints Vlad Korsunsky as Chief Technology Officer and Managing Director of Tenable Israel Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: MSFTAttribution confidence: 0.75Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +2.13% -3.25% -15.58% -14.15%
2025-12-12 NVDA / Nvidia Taboola (TBLA): Assessing Valuation After New LG Ad Solutions Partnership Targets Stronger Cross-Platform Ad Performance Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: NVDAAttribution confidence: 0.75Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +3.41% +5.67% +4.65% +6.66%
2025-12-11 GOOGL / Alphabet Alphabet (GOOGL) Stock Today: Premarket Dip on December 11, 2025 as AI Bubble Fears Collide With Google’s Gemini Momentum Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: GOOGLAttribution confidence: 0.75Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -3.19% +6.22% -1.12% +0.45%
2025-12-11 META / Meta Platforms Broadcom Turned In Strong Earnings. But Will They Revive the AI Trade? Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: METAAttribution confidence: 0.75Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +1.88% -1.57% +0.41% +1.98%
2025-12-08 META / Meta Platforms Evaluating IAC (IAC) After People Inc.’s New Meta AI Partnership and Expanding Tech Distribution Deals Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: METAAttribution confidence: 0.75Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -2.81% -2.64% -2.83% -2.34%
2025-12-08 AAPL / Apple 'Stay calm and Apple on:' Recent exec changes at iPhone maker not a worry: Evercore (AAPL:NASDAQ) Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.75Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -1.36% -6.32% -6.39% -5.90%
2025-12-05 TSLA / Tesla 3 Reasons to Sell GM and 1 Stock to Buy Instead Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: TSLAAttribution confidence: 0.75Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +0.87% -0.73% -10.87% -10.52%
2025-12-01 AAPL / Apple Medical Care Technologies Inc. Moves Into Apple's Final TestFlight Testing Phase for Its Debut Consumer AI App Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.75Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -1.84% -3.97% -6.40% -7.60%
2025-11-28 GOOGL / Alphabet Alphabet’s stock is the most overbought ever by one measure. Is that a problem? Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: GOOGLAttribution confidence: 0.75Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +0.34% -2.00% -3.94% -5.10%
2025-11-28 AMZN / Amazon Form 424B2 CITIGROUP INC Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AMZNAttribution confidence: 0.75Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -1.58% -0.49% -10.85% -12.01%
2025-11-26 GOOGL / Alphabet A Brave New World in AI Hardware: Are Qualcomm's and Alphabet's New Chips Game Changers? Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: GOOGLAttribution confidence: 0.75Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -0.10% -1.95% -2.77% -4.19%
2025-11-25 GOOGL / Alphabet Broadcom, Alphabet, Sandisk, Novo Nordisk And Zoom: Why These 5 Stocks Are On Investors' Radars Today Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: GOOGLAttribution confidence: 0.75Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -2.36% -3.01% -3.63% -5.02%
2025-11-24 GOOGL / Alphabet Broadcom, Alphabet, Sandisk, Novo Nordisk And Zoom: Why These 5 Stocks Are On Investors' Radars Today Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: GOOGLAttribution confidence: 0.75Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -1.16% -1.34% -2.16% -4.51%
2025-11-11 XOM / Exxon Mobil AlphaTON Capital appoints William De’Ath as chief partnership officer Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: XOMAttribution confidence: 0.75Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +0.24% +0.67% +27.34% +25.44%
2025-11-11 AAPL / Apple IBM and Apple lift the Dow Jones Industrial Average higher, even as tech falters Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.75Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -2.84% +1.01% -0.14% -2.04%
2025-11-02 META / Meta Platforms Meta, app makers launch Washington lobby to fight Apple and Google Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: METAAttribution confidence: 0.75Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -2.56% -0.19% +9.04% +6.79%
2025-11-02 CRWD / CrowdStrike Using A.I. to fight fraud Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: CRWDAttribution confidence: 0.75Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +2.67% -4.87% -19.18% -21.44%
2025-09-13 CRWD / CrowdStrike From product to platform: How CrowdStrike navigates to durable growth Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: CRWDAttribution confidence: 0.75Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +13.08% +16.63% +15.75% +11.76%
2024-12-19 MSFT / Microsoft Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) Leads AI Investment in 2024, Purchasing 485,000 Nvidia GPUs to Power AI Infrastructure Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: MSFTAttribution confidence: 0.75Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +0.25% -1.95% -11.08% -8.17%
2023-12-16 JPM / JPMorgan Chase Chase About To Pass American Express, Become Third Largest Travel Agency Behind Expedia, Booking.com Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: JPMAttribution confidence: 0.75Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +1.91% +2.30% +15.88% +6.92%
2022-12-19 JPM / JPMorgan Chase Transunion: More Americans Will Fall Behind on Loans in 2023 Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: JPMAttribution confidence: 0.75Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +1.29% +5.78% -1.52% -5.53%
2026-02-24 AMD / ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC Advanced Micro Devices Inc enters material agreement Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AMDAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -10.70% -4.71% +135.64% +126.14%
2026-01-06 CAT / CATERPILLAR INC Caterpillar Inc enters material agreement Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: CATAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +2.16% +9.12% +16.02% +20.51%
2025-12-05 CVX / CHEVRON CORP Chevron Corp enters material agreement Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: CVXAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -0.01% +9.23% +27.84% +28.19%
2025-11-24 HD / HOME DEPOT, INC. Home Depot, Inc. enters material agreement Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: HDAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +6.16% +3.86% +12.73% +10.39%
2025-11-13 UNH / UNITEDHEALTH GROUP INC Unitedhealth Group Inc enters material agreement Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: UNHAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -6.31% +3.49% -15.56% -18.83%
2025-11-12 MA / Mastercard Inc Mastercard Inc enters material agreement Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: MAAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -5.50% +1.91% -3.57% -5.15%
2025-09-12 JPM / JPMORGAN CHASE & CO Jpmorgan Chase & Co enters material agreement Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: JPMAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +2.56% +0.83% +3.91% -1.21%
2025-09-05 TSLA / Tesla, Inc. Tesla, Inc. enters material agreement Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: TSLAAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +12.85% +29.19% +29.55% +23.52%
2025-08-29 INTC / INTEL CORP Intel Corp enters material agreement Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: INTCAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +0.57% +41.60% +51.17% +45.51%
2025-08-25 INTC / INTEL CORP Intel Corp enters material agreement Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: INTCAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -1.38% +27.17% +45.78% +41.40%
2025-08-14 INTC / INTEL CORP Intel Corp enters material agreement Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: INTCAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -1.51% +0.92% +58.80% +52.55%
2026-03-23 CRWD / CrowdStrike Round 2 Lead Changes: HP’s Lannum, Arctic Wolf’s Skelley Surge In Weekend Madness Voting Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: CRWDAttribution confidence: 0.71Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -8.04% +12.91% +63.42% +49.55%
2026-03-06 GOOGL / Alphabet Edmond Landon, Klaviyo chief legal officer, sells $304k in shares Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: GOOGLAttribution confidence: 0.71Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +1.33% +0.56% +24.77% +11.86%
2026-03-05 GOOGL / Alphabet Klaviyo Co-CEO Bialecki sells $3.7m in Series A common stock Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: GOOGLAttribution confidence: 0.71Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +0.96% -0.23% +19.40% +8.39%
2026-01-03 CRWD / CrowdStrike Arbor Investment Advisors LLC Has $3.78 Million Stock Holdings in Truist Financial Corporation $TFC Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: CRWDAttribution confidence: 0.71Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +2.96% -3.25% -12.12% -8.83%
2025-12-11 MSFT / Microsoft Paycom, ADP top compensation rankings as Salesforce, Workday drop off Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: MSFTAttribution confidence: 0.71Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +0.11% -1.30% -16.06% -14.49%
2023-12-07 JNJ / Johnson & Johnson Vanda expands commercial presence with $100M deal for US rights to J&J multiple sclerosis drug Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: JNJAttribution confidence: 0.71Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +0.95% +3.94% +3.31% -8.38%
2023-10-05 AAPL / Apple Blackberry to Split in Two: Why We Like the Idea Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.71Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +3.32% +2.47% +5.48% -5.40%
2026-03-09 NVDA / Nvidia Calisa Acquisition Corp Announces $180M Merger with GoodVision AI to Scale Multi-Cloud GPU Infrastructure Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: NVDAAttribution confidence: 0.64Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +0.32% -0.31% +14.37% +5.09%
2026-03-13 META / Meta Platforms Big Tech profits from online scams, Associated sets M&A date Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: METAAttribution confidence: 0.60Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -3.18% +3.48% -7.30% -19.00%
2026-02-04 META / Meta Platforms Devon Energy and Coterra Energy Announce $58 Billion Merger Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: METAAttribution confidence: 0.60Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -0.04% -3.61% -9.49% -15.26%
2025-12-16 AMZN / Amazon Pardon the Disruption: 6 trends that defined grocery in 2025 Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AMZNAttribution confidence: 0.60Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +4.30% +7.02% -4.86% -3.70%
2025-12-13 MSFT / Microsoft Constellation Energy (CEG) Stock: Calpine Deal Milestones, Nuclear Restart Momentum, and What to Watch Next Week (Updated Dec. 13, 2025) Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: MSFTAttribution confidence: 0.60Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +1.34% -0.28% -17.15% -14.58%
2025-12-11 NVDA / Nvidia The 5 Most Interesting Analyst Questions From DocuSign's Q3 Earnings Call Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: NVDAAttribution confidence: 0.60Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -3.75% +2.22% +2.82% +4.40%
2026-03-12 META / Meta Platforms Meta Acquires Moltbook: AI Agent Social Network | 2026 Tech News - News and Statistics Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: METAAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -4.85% -0.49% -10.45% -19.66%
2026-03-12 XOM / Exxon Mobil Arkansas lithium boom hits milestone with first buyer; 8,000 tonne-a-year deal signed Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: XOMAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +3.02% -0.58% -1.23% -10.44%
2026-03-12 AAPL / Apple RedChip Companies Congratulates Former Client Cidara Therapeutics on Its $9.2 Billion Acquisition by Merck Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -2.66% +1.35% +14.11% +4.90%
2026-03-11 XOM / Exxon Mobil Devon and Coterra Announce Massive $58 Billion Merger Amid Global Oil Disruptions Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: XOMAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +3.96% +0.61% -1.09% -10.37%
2026-03-11 NVDA / Nvidia Clinton Township’s Coherent to join S&P 500 Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: NVDAAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -3.03% +1.40% +12.04% +2.77%
2026-03-10 MSFT / Microsoft Hyperscale Data, Inc. (GPUS) Plans Strategic Silver Reserve Program Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: MSFTAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -1.57% -8.06% +1.69% -7.77%
2026-03-09 NVDA / Nvidia Jacobs’ High-Stakes Pivot: How an Engineering Giant Remade Itself for the 2026 Industrial Renaissance Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: NVDAAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +0.32% -0.31% +14.37% +5.09%
2026-02-27 AMZN / Amazon ADT Acquires Origin Wireless in $170 Million Deal Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AMZNAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +1.53% -4.31% +30.48% +20.17%
2026-02-19 XOM / Exxon Mobil Eni, YPF, and XRG joint venture to advance Argentina LNG project Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: XOMAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -1.61% +6.73% +4.22% -4.37%
2026-02-18 XOM / Exxon Mobil Vance: Iran Won't Acknowledge Trump's Red Lines As Strike Odds Spike To 74% Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: XOMAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -1.08% +5.97% +8.61% +1.41%
2026-02-09 TSLA / Tesla GM hires new head of strategy from Lucid Motors Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: TSLAAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -1.60% -2.28% +6.63% -0.19%
2026-02-05 XOM / Exxon Mobil Turkey’s TPAO, Chevron agree joint oil, gas exploration Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: XOMAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +3.32% +3.67% +2.47% -6.13%
2025-12-30 XOM / Exxon Mobil Hess Corporation Stock: Quiet Trading Masks High-Stakes Exxon Deal and Oil Price Crosscurrents Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: XOMAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +0.05% +16.13% +42.67% +50.43%
2025-12-16 NVDA / Nvidia Nokia: From Paper Mill To AI And Defense — With Iconic Mobile Phones In Between (NYSE:NOK) Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: NVDAAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +6.47% +5.25% +3.10% +4.26%
2025-12-16 MSFT / Microsoft Qualcomm acquires Ventana Micro Systems Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: MSFTAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +2.20% -4.14% -15.85% -14.70%
2025-12-14 AAPL / Apple Apple’s $216M All-Cash Buy Pushes South Bay Investments Over $1B Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -2.63% -6.19% -9.06% -7.49%
2025-12-12 NVDA / Nvidia Cohu, Inc. Navigates Semiconductor Downturn with Strategic Focus on AI and Advanced Chip Quality Assurance Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: NVDAAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +3.41% +5.67% +4.65% +6.66%
2025-12-11 JPM / JPMorgan Chase BBVA and Stellantis given the green light for their auto financing venture in Argentina Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: JPMAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -1.38% +2.70% -9.00% -7.43%
2025-12-11 GOOGL / Alphabet Qualcomm Acquires Ventana to Advance RISC-V CPUs and Cut Arm Reliance Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: GOOGLAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -3.19% +6.22% -1.12% +0.45%
2025-12-11 AMZN / Amazon Grid Dynamics Signs Strategic Collaboration Agreement with AWS to Advance Data Foundations for Generative AI Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AMZNAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -1.53% +7.03% -7.66% -6.08%
2025-12-09 TSLA / Tesla After VW, Now the Ford Motor Company Bands With Renault in Europe to Sell EVs and LCVs Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: TSLAAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +10.04% -2.10% -10.44% -10.04%
2025-12-09 AMZN / Amazon IQVIA Holdings amends credit agreement to refinance loans and reduce interest rates Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AMZNAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -2.35% +8.06% -6.33% -5.93%
2025-12-08 TSLA / Tesla Fed Decision Looms As Markets Hold Steady And IBM Makes A Play Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: TSLAAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +8.13% -1.86% -9.30% -8.81%
2025-12-08 MSFT / Microsoft IBM to Acquire Confluent to Create Smart Data Platform for Enterprise Generative AI Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: MSFTAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -3.30% -1.54% -16.43% -15.94%
2025-12-05 AAPL / Apple LiveOne Announces Tesla Subscription Pricing Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -0.18% -4.13% -6.55% -6.20%
2025-12-01 META / Meta Platforms Omnicom to cut over 4,000 jobs and shutter legacy ad agencies after IPG acquisition Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: METAAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +4.05% +3.08% +2.06% +0.87%
2025-11-26 AMZN / Amazon Big Six no more as Omnicom absorbs IPG today, reshaping the global ad network order Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AMZNAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +1.41% +1.47% -8.99% -10.42%
2025-11-24 GOOGL / Alphabet Top Stock Movers Now: Tesla, Google Parent Alphabet, Carvana, Novo Nordisk, and More Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: GOOGLAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -1.16% -1.34% -2.16% -4.51%
2025-11-19 META / Meta Platforms Constellation Secures $1 Billion Federal Loan For Three Mile Island Restart Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: METAAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +7.33% +11.69% +8.38% +5.03%
2025-11-16 XOM / Exxon Mobil Chandra Asri Group Gets $750M from KKR (KKR) to Fund Esso Singapore Network Acquisition Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: XOMAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -2.78% -3.86% +23.37% +21.44%
2025-11-03 META / Meta Platforms US-China deal provides clarity, Dec. Fed cut looks uncertain Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: METAAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -0.93% +0.30% +10.86% +8.80%
2025-08-27 CRWD / CrowdStrike 5X Faster Data Processing: CrowdStrike's Onum Acquisition Promises 70% Faster Cyber Threat Response Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: CRWDAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -2.23% +13.92% +21.23% +16.55%
2024-12-05 XOM / Exxon Mobil Huge & Hero Digital Merge to Create Global Experience Design Powerhouse After AEA Acquisition Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: XOMAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -2.58% -6.13% -7.32% -3.75%
2024-10-07 AAPL / Apple Top Stock Movers Now: Humana, Amazon, Apple, and More Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +4.33% +0.46% +10.64% +5.43%
2024-10-01 AAPL / Apple Coherent sells wafer fab to UK's Ministry of Defence for reported £20M Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -0.19% -0.13% +11.61% +7.82%
2023-12-19 AAPL / Apple Qorvo to sell Chinese assembly, test factories to Luxshare ... Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -1.98% -4.22% -11.68% -20.02%
2023-12-12 XOM / Exxon Mobil Saudi Arabia’s oil giant Aramco to invest in Pakistani company Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: XOMAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +5.04% +0.63% +12.22% +1.61%
2023-12-11 XOM / Exxon Mobil Occidental Petroleum to buy CrownRock in $12B deal Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: XOMAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +2.04% -0.93% +10.45% -0.66%
2023-11-22 NVDA / Nvidia OpenAI Says Sam Altman to Return as CEO in Dramatic Reversal Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: NVDAAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -1.18% +0.24% +42.58% +32.96%
2023-11-17 PFE / Pfizer AiBtl signs $667m licensing deal for ABVC’s CNS drug Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: PFEAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +1.94% -9.56% -6.67% -18.49%
2023-11-17 GS / Goldman Sachs Colibri Group Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: GSAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -0.01% +11.88% +14.56% +2.75%
2022-12-30 JPM / JPMorgan Chase Asesoramos en la reestructuración de pasivos financieros de San Antonio Internacional S.A. y Servicios Especiales San Antonio S.A. Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: JPMAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk +3.62% +4.52% -3.28% -9.25%
2022-12-15 AAPL / Apple Masimo links passive health monitors to home stereos amid legal row with Apple Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -3.13% -0.41% +12.25% +11.88%
2022-12-12 AAPL / Apple Consoles and Competition Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -8.39% -7.61% +4.30% +7.26%
2022-12-02 JNJ / Johnson & Johnson J&J’s Duato to replace departing Gorsky as board chair Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: JNJAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -1.76% -0.39% -14.16% -12.37%
2025-12-24 CRWD / CrowdStrike New $100M acquisition company lists on Nasdaq to seek a deal partner Same signal: deal-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: CRWDAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. Deal Risk -1.75% -5.16% -17.63% -12.50%

Historical observation only. This workspace does not provide investment advice, forecasts, price targets, buy/sell ratings, or claims of causation.

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