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Merrowstone Signal Intelligence

Tariff Pressure

Historical signal intelligence based on stored Merrowstone event memory and outcome observations. Results are ordered and labelled from existing database evidence only.

Signal Intelligence Summary

Signal nameTariff Pressure
Historical events shown60
First occurrence shown2018-01-19
Most recent occurrence2019-12-20
Average 7d return-1.16%
Average 30d return-1.58%
Average 90d return-0.27%
Average relative 90d return-2.05%
Best observed outcomeQCOM 2019-01-30 +73.67% 90d
Worst observed outcomeAVGO 2019-12-20 -39.04% 90d
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Historical Events Timeline

Direct matches are shown separately from co-signal observations. Pending outcome windows are labelled rather than shown as broken data.

Date Company Headline Why related? Primary Signal 7d Return 30d Return 90d Return Relative 90d Return
Direct Signal MatchesThe selected signal is the primary or directly attributed signal.
2019-12-20 AVGO / Broadcom Inc. Broadcom Inc. SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2019-12-20) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AVGO Commodity Price Pressure -0.77% -3.43% -39.04% -14.03%
2019-11-06 XOM / Exxon Mobil Corporation Exxon Mobil Corporation SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2019-11-06) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: XOM Commodity Price Pressure -2.60% -1.60% -15.10% -22.78%
2019-11-06 QCOM / QUALCOMM Incorporated QUALCOMM Incorporated SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2019-11-06) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: QCOM Commodity Price Pressure +6.90% -0.19% +5.90% -1.78%
2019-08-07 XOM / Exxon Mobil Corporation Exxon Mobil Corporation SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2019-08-07) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: XOM Commodity Price Pressure -2.85% +1.86% +4.96% -2.15%
2019-08-01 MSFT / Microsoft Corporation Microsoft Corporation SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2019-08-01) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: demand-weaknessOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: MSFT Demand Weakness +0.60% -1.14% +5.09% +1.46%
2019-07-26 INTC / Intel Corporation Intel Corporation SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2019-07-26) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: INTC Commodity Price Pressure -5.64% -11.09% +1.92% +2.01%
2019-07-16 FDX / FedEx Corporation FedEx Corporation SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2019-07-16) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: FDX Commodity Price Pressure +2.34% -9.99% -13.21% -12.39%
2019-05-16 NVDA / NVIDIA Corporation NVIDIA Corporation SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2019-05-16) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: NVDA Commodity Price Pressure -8.03% -9.36% -6.21% -5.37%
2019-05-02 XOM / Exxon Mobil Corporation Exxon Mobil Corporation SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2019-05-02) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: XOM Commodity Price Pressure -0.67% -5.93% -2.69% -5.33%
2019-05-01 QCOM / QUALCOMM Incorporated QUALCOMM Incorporated SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2019-05-01) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: QCOM Commodity Price Pressure -2.12% -22.64% -12.59% -16.15%
2019-03-28 WMT / Walmart Inc. Walmart Inc. SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2019-03-28) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: WMT Commodity Price Pressure +1.01% +4.56% +14.02% +10.04%
2019-02-27 XOM / Exxon Mobil Corporation Exxon Mobil Corporation SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2019-02-27) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: XOM Commodity Price Pressure -0.24% +1.67% -7.58% -8.37%
2019-02-25 GE / General Electric Company General Electric Company SEC 8-K trade-war regime disclosure (2019-02-25) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: GE Commodity Price Pressure -0.23% -4.16% -9.94% -10.60%
2019-02-22 CVX / Chevron Corporation Chevron Corporation SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2019-02-22) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: CVX Commodity Price Pressure +2.21% +2.93% -0.30% -1.82%
2019-02-21 NVDA / NVIDIA Corporation NVIDIA Corporation SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2019-02-21) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: NVDA Commodity Price Pressure -0.87% +11.68% -2.19% -5.60%
2019-02-08 HON / Honeywell International Inc. Honeywell International Inc. SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2019-02-08) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: HON Commodity Price Pressure +3.17% +3.63% +15.27% +8.81%
2019-02-08 AMD / Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2019-02-08) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AMD Commodity Price Pressure +2.73% -0.39% +18.05% +11.60%
2019-02-06 GM / General Motors Company General Motors Company SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2019-02-06) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: GM Commodity Price Pressure -2.28% -3.87% -2.50% -8.53%
2019-02-01 AMZN / Amazon.com, Inc. Amazon.com, Inc. SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2019-02-01) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AMZN Commodity Price Pressure -2.34% +4.30% +16.89% +8.59%
2019-01-30 QCOM / QUALCOMM Incorporated QUALCOMM Incorporated SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2019-01-30) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: QCOM Commodity Price Pressure +1.85% +8.03% +73.67% +63.31%
2018-12-21 AVGO / Broadcom Inc. Broadcom Inc. SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2018-12-21) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AVGO Commodity Price Pressure +3.54% +5.46% +22.27% +3.46%
2018-12-20 COST / Costco Wholesale Corporation Costco Wholesale Corporation SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-12-20) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: COST Commodity Price Pressure +2.00% +7.75% +20.54% +5.46%
2018-12-18 FDX / FedEx Corporation FedEx Corporation SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-12-18) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: guidance-changeOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: FDX Guidance Change -13.44% -6.35% -1.04% -12.86%
2018-12-17 DE / Deere & Company Deere & Company SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2018-12-17) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: DE Commodity Price Pressure -5.96% +8.32% +10.31% -1.39%
2018-11-15 NVDA / NVIDIA Corporation NVIDIA Corporation SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-11-15) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: NVDA Commodity Price Pressure -28.36% -28.99% -24.39% -25.70%
2018-11-13 CAT / Caterpillar Inc. Caterpillar Inc. SEC 8-K trade-war regime disclosure (2018-11-13) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: CAT Commodity Price Pressure -2.93% -0.05% +3.02% +2.96%
2018-11-08 CVX / Chevron Corporation Chevron Corporation SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-11-08) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: CVX Commodity Price Pressure -1.06% -2.76% +0.57% +2.77%
2018-11-07 XOM / Exxon Mobil Corporation Exxon Mobil Corporation SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-11-07) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: XOM Commodity Price Pressure -5.85% -5.54% -8.04% -5.79%
2018-11-07 QCOM / QUALCOMM Incorporated QUALCOMM Incorporated SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2018-11-07) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: QCOM Commodity Price Pressure -14.67% -10.46% -18.87% -16.63%
2018-11-05 AAPL / Apple Inc. Apple Inc. SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2018-11-05) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPL Commodity Price Pressure -3.34% -13.03% -14.75% -14.81%
2018-10-30 GE / General Electric Company General Electric Company SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-10-30) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: GE Commodity Price Pressure -7.47% -22.00% -12.16% -11.24%
2018-10-26 COST / Costco Wholesale Corporation Costco Wholesale Corporation SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2018-10-26) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: COST Commodity Price Pressure +5.49% +0.82% -3.38% -3.29%
2018-10-22 CAT / Caterpillar Inc. Caterpillar Inc. SEC 8-K trade-war regime disclosure (2018-10-22) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: CAT Commodity Price Pressure -11.44% -3.76% +3.40% +7.26%
2018-09-17 FDX / FedEx Corporation FedEx Corporation SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-09-17) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: guidance-changeOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: FDX Guidance Change -4.65% -12.62% -28.54% -17.20%
2018-09-14 CAT / Caterpillar Inc. Caterpillar Inc. SEC 8-K trade-war regime disclosure (2018-09-14) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: CAT Commodity Price Pressure +7.92% -2.14% -12.56% -4.20%
2018-08-16 NVDA / NVIDIA Corporation NVIDIA Corporation SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-08-16) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: NVDA Commodity Price Pressure +3.65% +6.46% -23.36% -18.91%
2018-08-13 CAT / Caterpillar Inc. Caterpillar Inc. SEC 8-K trade-war regime disclosure (2018-08-13) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: CAT Commodity Price Pressure +2.70% +6.86% -6.83% -3.89%
2018-08-03 MSFT / Microsoft Corporation Microsoft Corporation SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2018-08-03) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: demand-weaknessOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: MSFT Demand Weakness +0.89% +3.79% -1.59% +1.54%
2018-08-02 CVX / Chevron Corporation Chevron Corporation SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-08-02) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: CVX Commodity Price Pressure -0.99% -3.03% -8.92% -5.19%
2018-08-02 XOM / Exxon Mobil Corporation Exxon Mobil Corporation SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-08-02) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: XOM Commodity Price Pressure +0.51% +1.51% +0.74% +4.47%
2018-07-27 GE / General Electric Company General Electric Company SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-07-27) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: GE Commodity Price Pressure +0.61% -2.22% -8.79% -5.19%
2018-07-25 QCOM / QUALCOMM Incorporated QUALCOMM Incorporated SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-07-25) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: QCOM Commodity Price Pressure +8.30% +13.01% +12.73% +15.96%
2018-07-16 FDX / FedEx Corporation FedEx Corporation SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2018-07-16) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: FDX Commodity Price Pressure +2.70% +5.78% -3.73% -2.40%
2018-06-26 GE / General Electric Company General Electric Company SEC 8-K trade-war regime disclosure (2018-06-26) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: GE Commodity Price Pressure -2.69% -4.29% -13.74% -21.38%
2018-06-15 GM / General Motors Company General Motors Company SEC 8-K trade-war regime disclosure (2018-06-15) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: management-changeOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: GM Management Change -6.06% -9.91% -21.15% -26.09%
2018-06-07 COST / Costco Wholesale Corporation Costco Wholesale Corporation SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-06-07) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: COST Commodity Price Pressure +1.26% +4.13% +16.60% +11.93%
2018-05-22 NVDA / NVIDIA Corporation NVIDIA Corporation SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-05-22) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: NVDA Commodity Price Pressure +2.49% +6.00% +2.18% -3.08%
2018-05-04 CAT / Caterpillar Inc. Caterpillar Inc. SEC 8-K trade-war regime disclosure (2018-05-04) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: CAT Commodity Price Pressure +5.80% +4.19% -5.13% -11.76%
2018-05-03 XOM / Exxon Mobil Corporation Exxon Mobil Corporation SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-05-03) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: XOM Commodity Price Pressure +6.77% +6.86% +6.09% -1.33%
2018-05-01 GE / General Electric Company General Electric Company SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-05-01) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: GE Commodity Price Pressure +1.57% +0.21% -5.50% -11.63%
2018-04-25 QCOM / QUALCOMM Incorporated QUALCOMM Incorporated SEC 10-Q trade-war regime disclosure (2018-04-25) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: QCOM Commodity Price Pressure +1.03% +20.52% +19.53% +12.23%
2018-03-30 WMT / Walmart Inc. Walmart Inc. SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2018-03-30) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: WMT Commodity Price Pressure -2.56% -0.57% -2.89% -6.29%
2018-03-22 HD / The Home Depot, Inc. The Home Depot, Inc. SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2018-03-22) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: HD Commodity Price Pressure +1.68% +1.35% +14.21% +9.07%
2018-03-19 INTC / Intel Corporation Intel Corporation SEC 8-K trade-war regime disclosure (2018-03-19) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: management-changeOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: INTC Management Change +3.25% +5.47% +5.31% +2.60%
2018-02-28 XOM / Exxon Mobil Corporation Exxon Mobil Corporation SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2018-02-28) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: XOM Commodity Price Pressure -1.95% -3.33% +4.59% +5.16%
2018-02-28 NVDA / NVIDIA Corporation NVIDIA Corporation SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2018-02-28) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: NVDA Commodity Price Pressure -0.07% -8.66% +2.79% +3.36%
2018-02-27 AMD / Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2018-02-27) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AMD Commodity Price Pressure -6.15% -19.79% +6.62% +8.20%
2018-02-21 UPS / United Parcel Service, Inc. United Parcel Service, Inc. SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2018-02-21) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: UPS Commodity Price Pressure -0.28% -2.90% +11.05% +9.70%
2018-02-02 AMZN / Amazon.com, Inc. Amazon.com, Inc. SEC 10-K trade-war regime disclosure (2018-02-02) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AMZN Commodity Price Pressure -6.32% +6.55% +9.94% +14.22%
2018-01-19 XOM / Exxon Mobil Corporation Exxon Mobil Corporation SEC 8-K trade-war regime disclosure (2018-01-19) Same signal: tariff-pressurePrimary signal: commodity-price-pressureOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: XOM Commodity Price Pressure +2.12% -12.19% -7.94% -4.21%

Historical observation only. This workspace does not provide investment advice, forecasts, price targets, buy/sell ratings, or claims of causation.

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