Deal Risk
Historical signal intelligence based on stored Merrowstone event memory and outcome observations. Results are ordered and labelled from existing database evidence only.
Signal Intelligence Summary
Merrowstone Research Board
Save selected events, signals, companies, graph items, and outcome context on this device for later research.
Research boards are stored in this browser using local storage. They are not synced across devices. You can clear or export the board at any time.Save current research view
Choose what to capture from this Continue Research page. You can remove items later.
Saved research view summary will appear here after saving.
Visual Intelligence Graph
Use this graph to understand how the selected signal connects to events, companies, related signals, and observed outcomes.
Historical Events Timeline
Direct matches are shown separately from co-signal observations. Pending outcome windows are labelled rather than shown as broken data.
| Date | Company | Headline | Why related? | Primary Signal | 7d Return | 30d Return | 90d Return | Relative 90d Return | Board |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Direct Signal MatchesThe selected signal is the primary or directly attributed signal. | |||||||||
| 2026-02-24 | AMD / ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC | Advanced Micro Devices Inc enters material agreement | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -10.70% | -4.71% | +135.64% | +126.14% | |
| 2026-01-06 | CAT / CATERPILLAR INC | Caterpillar Inc enters material agreement | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | +2.16% | +9.12% | +16.02% | +20.51% | |
| 2025-12-05 | CVX / CHEVRON CORP | Chevron Corp enters material agreement | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -0.01% | +9.23% | +27.84% | +28.19% | |
| 2025-11-24 | HD / HOME DEPOT, INC. | Home Depot, Inc. enters material agreement | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | +6.16% | +3.86% | +12.73% | +10.39% | |
| 2025-11-13 | UNH / UNITEDHEALTH GROUP INC | Unitedhealth Group Inc enters material agreement | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -6.31% | +3.49% | -15.56% | -18.83% | |
| 2025-11-12 | MA / Mastercard Inc | Mastercard Inc enters material agreement | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -5.50% | +1.91% | -3.57% | -5.15% | |
| 2025-09-12 | JPM / JPMORGAN CHASE & CO | Jpmorgan Chase & Co enters material agreement | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | +2.56% | +0.83% | +3.91% | -1.21% | |
| 2025-09-05 | TSLA / Tesla, Inc. | Tesla, Inc. enters material agreement | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | +12.85% | +29.19% | +29.55% | +23.52% | |
| 2025-08-29 | INTC / INTEL CORP | Intel Corp enters material agreement | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | +0.57% | +41.60% | +51.17% | +45.51% | |
| 2025-08-25 | INTC / INTEL CORP | Intel Corp enters material agreement | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -1.38% | +27.17% | +45.78% | +41.40% | |
| 2025-08-14 | INTC / INTEL CORP | Intel Corp enters material agreement | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -1.51% | +0.92% | +58.80% | +52.55% | |
| 2026-03-23 | CRWD / CrowdStrike | Round 2 Lead Changes: HP’s Lannum, Arctic Wolf’s Skelley Surge In Weekend Madness Voting | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -8.04% | +12.91% | +63.42% | +49.55% | |
| 2026-03-06 | GOOGL / Alphabet | Edmond Landon, Klaviyo chief legal officer, sells $304k in shares | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | +1.33% | +0.56% | +24.77% | +11.86% | |
| 2026-03-05 | GOOGL / Alphabet | Klaviyo Co-CEO Bialecki sells $3.7m in Series A common stock | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | +0.96% | -0.23% | +19.40% | +8.39% | |
| 2026-01-03 | CRWD / CrowdStrike | Arbor Investment Advisors LLC Has $3.78 Million Stock Holdings in Truist Financial Corporation $TFC | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | +2.96% | -3.25% | -12.12% | -8.83% | |
| 2025-12-11 | MSFT / Microsoft | Paycom, ADP top compensation rankings as Salesforce, Workday drop off | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | +0.11% | -1.30% | -16.06% | -14.49% | |
| 2023-12-07 | JNJ / Johnson & Johnson | Vanda expands commercial presence with $100M deal for US rights to J&J multiple sclerosis drug | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | +0.95% | +3.94% | +3.31% | -8.38% | |
| 2023-10-05 | AAPL / Apple | Blackberry to Split in Two: Why We Like the Idea | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | +3.32% | +2.47% | +5.48% | -5.40% | |
| 2026-03-09 | NVDA / Nvidia | Calisa Acquisition Corp Announces $180M Merger with GoodVision AI to Scale Multi-Cloud GPU Infrastructure | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | +0.32% | -0.31% | +14.37% | +5.09% | |
| 2026-03-13 | META / Meta Platforms | Big Tech profits from online scams, Associated sets M&A date | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -3.18% | +3.48% | -7.30% | -19.00% | |
| 2026-02-04 | META / Meta Platforms | Devon Energy and Coterra Energy Announce $58 Billion Merger | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -0.04% | -3.61% | -9.49% | -15.26% | |
| 2025-12-16 | AMZN / Amazon | Pardon the Disruption: 6 trends that defined grocery in 2025 | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | +4.30% | +7.02% | -4.86% | -3.70% | |
| 2025-12-13 | MSFT / Microsoft | Constellation Energy (CEG) Stock: Calpine Deal Milestones, Nuclear Restart Momentum, and What to Watch Next Week (Updated Dec. 13, 2025) | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | +1.34% | -0.28% | -17.15% | -14.58% | |
| 2025-12-11 | NVDA / Nvidia | The 5 Most Interesting Analyst Questions From DocuSign's Q3 Earnings Call | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -3.75% | +2.22% | +2.82% | +4.40% | |
| 2026-03-12 | META / Meta Platforms | Meta Acquires Moltbook: AI Agent Social Network | 2026 Tech News - News and Statistics | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -4.85% | -0.49% | -10.45% | -19.66% | |
Historical observation only. This workspace does not provide investment advice, forecasts, price targets, buy/sell ratings, or claims of causation.