Deal Risk
Historical signal intelligence based on stored Merrowstone event memory and outcome observations. Results are ordered and labelled from existing database evidence only.
Signal Intelligence Summary
Merrowstone Research Board
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Visual Intelligence Graph
Use this graph to understand how the selected signal connects to events, companies, related signals, and observed outcomes.
Historical Events Timeline
Direct matches are shown separately from co-signal observations. Pending outcome windows are labelled rather than shown as broken data.
| Date | Company | Headline | Why related? | Primary Signal | 7d Return | 30d Return | 90d Return | Relative 90d Return | Board |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Direct Signal MatchesThe selected signal is the primary or directly attributed signal. | |||||||||
| 2026-03-12 | XOM / Exxon Mobil | Arkansas lithium boom hits milestone with first buyer; 8,000 tonne-a-year deal signed | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | +3.02% | -0.58% | -1.23% | -10.44% | |
| 2026-03-12 | AAPL / Apple | RedChip Companies Congratulates Former Client Cidara Therapeutics on Its $9.2 Billion Acquisition by Merck | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -2.66% | +1.35% | +14.11% | +4.90% | |
| 2026-03-11 | XOM / Exxon Mobil | Devon and Coterra Announce Massive $58 Billion Merger Amid Global Oil Disruptions | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | +3.96% | +0.61% | -1.09% | -10.37% | |
| 2026-03-11 | NVDA / Nvidia | Clinton Township’s Coherent to join S&P 500 | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -3.03% | +1.40% | +12.04% | +2.77% | |
| 2026-03-10 | MSFT / Microsoft | Hyperscale Data, Inc. (GPUS) Plans Strategic Silver Reserve Program | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -1.57% | -8.06% | +1.69% | -7.77% | |
| 2026-03-09 | NVDA / Nvidia | Jacobs’ High-Stakes Pivot: How an Engineering Giant Remade Itself for the 2026 Industrial Renaissance | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | +0.32% | -0.31% | +14.37% | +5.09% | |
| 2026-02-27 | AMZN / Amazon | ADT Acquires Origin Wireless in $170 Million Deal | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | +1.53% | -4.31% | +30.48% | +20.17% | |
| 2026-02-19 | XOM / Exxon Mobil | Eni, YPF, and XRG joint venture to advance Argentina LNG project | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -1.61% | +6.73% | +4.22% | -4.37% | |
| 2026-02-18 | XOM / Exxon Mobil | Vance: Iran Won't Acknowledge Trump's Red Lines As Strike Odds Spike To 74% | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -1.08% | +5.97% | +8.61% | +1.41% | |
| 2026-02-09 | TSLA / Tesla | GM hires new head of strategy from Lucid Motors | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -1.60% | -2.28% | +6.63% | -0.19% | |
| 2026-02-05 | XOM / Exxon Mobil | Turkey’s TPAO, Chevron agree joint oil, gas exploration | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | +3.32% | +3.67% | +2.47% | -6.13% | |
| 2025-12-30 | XOM / Exxon Mobil | Hess Corporation Stock: Quiet Trading Masks High-Stakes Exxon Deal and Oil Price Crosscurrents | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | +0.05% | +16.13% | +42.67% | +50.43% | |
| 2025-12-16 | NVDA / Nvidia | Nokia: From Paper Mill To AI And Defense — With Iconic Mobile Phones In Between (NYSE:NOK) | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | +6.47% | +5.25% | +3.10% | +4.26% | |
| 2025-12-16 | MSFT / Microsoft | Qualcomm acquires Ventana Micro Systems | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | +2.20% | -4.14% | -15.85% | -14.70% | |
| 2025-12-14 | AAPL / Apple | Apple’s $216M All-Cash Buy Pushes South Bay Investments Over $1B | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -2.63% | -6.19% | -9.06% | -7.49% | |
| 2025-12-12 | NVDA / Nvidia | Cohu, Inc. Navigates Semiconductor Downturn with Strategic Focus on AI and Advanced Chip Quality Assurance | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | +3.41% | +5.67% | +4.65% | +6.66% | |
| 2025-12-11 | JPM / JPMorgan Chase | BBVA and Stellantis given the green light for their auto financing venture in Argentina | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -1.38% | +2.70% | -9.00% | -7.43% | |
| 2025-12-11 | GOOGL / Alphabet | Qualcomm Acquires Ventana to Advance RISC-V CPUs and Cut Arm Reliance | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -3.19% | +6.22% | -1.12% | +0.45% | |
| 2025-12-11 | AMZN / Amazon | Grid Dynamics Signs Strategic Collaboration Agreement with AWS to Advance Data Foundations for Generative AI | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -1.53% | +7.03% | -7.66% | -6.08% | |
| 2025-12-09 | TSLA / Tesla | After VW, Now the Ford Motor Company Bands With Renault in Europe to Sell EVs and LCVs | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | +10.04% | -2.10% | -10.44% | -10.04% | |
| 2025-12-09 | AMZN / Amazon | IQVIA Holdings amends credit agreement to refinance loans and reduce interest rates | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -2.35% | +8.06% | -6.33% | -5.93% | |
| 2025-12-08 | TSLA / Tesla | Fed Decision Looms As Markets Hold Steady And IBM Makes A Play | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | +8.13% | -1.86% | -9.30% | -8.81% | |
| 2025-12-08 | MSFT / Microsoft | IBM to Acquire Confluent to Create Smart Data Platform for Enterprise Generative AI | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -3.30% | -1.54% | -16.43% | -15.94% | |
| 2025-12-05 | AAPL / Apple | LiveOne Announces Tesla Subscription Pricing | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -0.18% | -4.13% | -6.55% | -6.20% | |
| 2025-12-01 | META / Meta Platforms | Omnicom to cut over 4,000 jobs and shutter legacy ad agencies after IPG acquisition | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | +4.05% | +3.08% | +2.06% | +0.87% | |
Historical observation only. This workspace does not provide investment advice, forecasts, price targets, buy/sell ratings, or claims of causation.