Deal Risk
Historical signal intelligence based on stored Merrowstone event memory and outcome observations. Results are ordered and labelled from existing database evidence only.
Signal Intelligence Summary
Merrowstone Research Board
Save selected events, signals, companies, graph items, and outcome context on this device for later research.
Research boards are stored in this browser using local storage. They are not synced across devices. You can clear or export the board at any time.Save current research view
Choose what to capture from this Continue Research page. You can remove items later.
Saved research view summary will appear here after saving.
Visual Intelligence Graph
Use this graph to understand how the selected signal connects to events, companies, related signals, and observed outcomes.
Historical Events Timeline
Direct matches are shown separately from co-signal observations. Pending outcome windows are labelled rather than shown as broken data.
| Date | Company | Headline | Why related? | Primary Signal | 7d Return | 30d Return | 90d Return | Relative 90d Return | Board |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Direct Signal MatchesThe selected signal is the primary or directly attributed signal. | |||||||||
| 2025-11-26 | AMZN / Amazon | Big Six no more as Omnicom absorbs IPG today, reshaping the global ad network order | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | +1.41% | +1.47% | -8.99% | -10.42% | |
| 2025-11-24 | GOOGL / Alphabet | Top Stock Movers Now: Tesla, Google Parent Alphabet, Carvana, Novo Nordisk, and More | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -1.16% | -1.34% | -2.16% | -4.51% | |
| 2025-11-19 | META / Meta Platforms | Constellation Secures $1 Billion Federal Loan For Three Mile Island Restart | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | +7.33% | +11.69% | +8.38% | +5.03% | |
| 2025-11-16 | XOM / Exxon Mobil | Chandra Asri Group Gets $750M from KKR (KKR) to Fund Esso Singapore Network Acquisition | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -2.78% | -3.86% | +23.37% | +21.44% | |
| 2025-11-03 | META / Meta Platforms | US-China deal provides clarity, Dec. Fed cut looks uncertain | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -0.93% | +0.30% | +10.86% | +8.80% | |
| 2025-08-27 | CRWD / CrowdStrike | 5X Faster Data Processing: CrowdStrike's Onum Acquisition Promises 70% Faster Cyber Threat Response | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -2.23% | +13.92% | +21.23% | +16.55% | |
| 2024-12-05 | XOM / Exxon Mobil | Huge & Hero Digital Merge to Create Global Experience Design Powerhouse After AEA Acquisition | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -2.58% | -6.13% | -7.32% | -3.75% | |
| 2024-10-07 | AAPL / Apple | Top Stock Movers Now: Humana, Amazon, Apple, and More | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | +4.33% | +0.46% | +10.64% | +5.43% | |
| 2024-10-01 | AAPL / Apple | Coherent sells wafer fab to UK's Ministry of Defence for reported £20M | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -0.19% | -0.13% | +11.61% | +7.82% | |
| 2023-12-19 | AAPL / Apple | Qorvo to sell Chinese assembly, test factories to Luxshare ... | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -1.98% | -4.22% | -11.68% | -20.02% | |
| 2023-12-12 | XOM / Exxon Mobil | Saudi Arabia’s oil giant Aramco to invest in Pakistani company | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | +5.04% | +0.63% | +12.22% | +1.61% | |
| 2023-12-11 | XOM / Exxon Mobil | Occidental Petroleum to buy CrownRock in $12B deal | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | +2.04% | -0.93% | +10.45% | -0.66% | |
| 2023-11-22 | NVDA / Nvidia | OpenAI Says Sam Altman to Return as CEO in Dramatic Reversal | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -1.18% | +0.24% | +42.58% | +32.96% | |
| 2023-11-17 | PFE / Pfizer | AiBtl signs $667m licensing deal for ABVC’s CNS drug | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | +1.94% | -9.56% | -6.67% | -18.49% | |
| 2023-11-17 | GS / Goldman Sachs | Colibri Group | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -0.01% | +11.88% | +14.56% | +2.75% | |
| 2022-12-30 | JPM / JPMorgan Chase | Asesoramos en la reestructuración de pasivos financieros de San Antonio Internacional S.A. y Servicios Especiales San Antonio S.A. | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | +3.62% | +4.52% | -3.28% | -9.25% | |
| 2022-12-15 | AAPL / Apple | Masimo links passive health monitors to home stereos amid legal row with Apple | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -3.13% | -0.41% | +12.25% | +11.88% | |
| 2022-12-12 | AAPL / Apple | Consoles and Competition | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -8.39% | -7.61% | +4.30% | +7.26% | |
| 2022-12-02 | JNJ / Johnson & Johnson | J&J’s Duato to replace departing Gorsky as board chair | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -1.76% | -0.39% | -14.16% | -12.37% | |
| 2025-12-24 | CRWD / CrowdStrike | New $100M acquisition company lists on Nasdaq to seek a deal partner | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | -1.75% | -5.16% | -17.63% | -12.50% | |
| 2025-12-15 | GOOGL / Alphabet | ServiceNow Stock Plunges to Lead S&P 500 Decliners on Monday. Here's Why. | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | +0.51% | +8.96% | -0.79% | +0.64% | |
| 2025-12-14 | GOOGL / Alphabet | ServiceNow (NOW) Considers $7 Billion Armis Acquisition as Cybersecurity Deals Surge | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | +0.16% | +8.63% | -1.14% | +0.44% | |
| 2025-12-14 | MSFT / Microsoft | ServiceNow nears up to US7 billion deal for cybersecurity startup Armis | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | +1.34% | -1.64% | -16.23% | -14.65% | |
| 2025-11-22 | CRWD / CrowdStrike | After Cloudflare Outage, Palo Alto Networks Moves to Acquire Observability Platform for $3.35 Billion | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | +2.74% | -1.53% | -20.80% | -25.72% | |
| 2024-11-21 | PFE / Pfizer | After ProfoundBio buy, Genmab open to more M&A if it makes 'strategic sense,’ CFO says | Show explanationAssigned Deal Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Deal Risk | +4.30% | +6.29% | +4.73% | +1.14% | |
Historical observation only. This workspace does not provide investment advice, forecasts, price targets, buy/sell ratings, or claims of causation.