Merrowstone Signal Intelligence
Recession Risk
Historical signal intelligence based on stored Merrowstone event memory and outcome observations. Results are ordered and labelled from existing database evidence only.
Signal Intelligence Summary
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Historical Events Timeline
Direct matches are shown separately from co-signal observations. Pending outcome windows are labelled rather than shown as broken data.
| Date | Company | Headline | Why related? | Primary Signal | 7d Return | 30d Return | 90d Return | Relative 90d Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Direct Signal MatchesThe selected signal is the primary or directly attributed signal. | ||||||||
| 2022-12-07 | GS / Goldman Sachs | Morgan Stanley slashes 1,600 jobs | Same signal: recession-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: GSAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Recession Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity conte… | Recession Risk | +0.13% | -3.29% | -3.16% | -4.92% |
| 2022-12-21 | AAPL / Apple | Ad tech firms focus on layoffs as ad recession fears build | Same signal: recession-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Recession Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity conte… | Recession Risk | -6.95% | +1.79% | +17.77% | +14.10% |
| 2025-04-03 | AAPL / Apple | Stocks Have Worst Day Since 2020 as Trump’s Tariffs Raise Risk of Recession | Same signal: recession-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Recession Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. | Recession Risk | -6.28% | -2.12% | +4.69% | -11.26% |
| 2025-03-24 | AAPL / Apple | BCX: Examining Inflation Protection Benefits And Recession Risks | Same signal: recession-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Recession Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. | Recession Risk | +0.63% | -7.31% | -8.59% | -13.44% |
| 2024-10-11 | AAPL / Apple | Texas Instruments: From Calculators to Master Capital Allocators | Same signal: recession-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Recession Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. | Recession Risk | +3.27% | -1.35% | +4.20% | +3.71% |
| 2022-12-29 | MSFT / Microsoft | What's next: Predictions, challenges and IT trends for 2023 | Same signal: recession-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: MSFTAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Recession Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. | Recession Risk | -7.76% | +0.71% | +16.68% | +11.61% |
| 2022-12-16 | PFE / Pfizer | The top 10 pharma M&A deals of 2022 | Same signal: recession-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: PFEAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Recession Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. | Recession Risk | +0.84% | -10.35% | -20.74% | -24.09% |
| Related / Co-Signal EventsThe selected signal appears alongside another primary or contextual signal. | ||||||||
| 2026-03-16 | JPM / JPMorgan Chase | Goldman Sachs Stock Climbs Toward $800: Wall Street’s Most Powerful Bank Faces a New Test | Co-occurs with: recession-riskPrimary signal: oil-supply-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: JPMAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Recession Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. | Oil Supply Risk | +1.31% | +7.46% | +12.19% | -0.95% |
| 2026-03-13 | JPM / JPMorgan Chase | JPMorgan upgrades Alcoa stock rating to neutral on supply risks | Co-occurs with: recession-riskPrimary signal: dividend-increaseOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: JPMAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Recession Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. | Dividend Increase | +1.10% | +11.24% | +11.17% | -0.53% |
| 2026-03-09 | AAPL / Apple | Is the MacBook Neo a 'Recession Indicator'? Tech CEOs Are Divided Over Apple’s $599 Laptop | Co-occurs with: recession-riskPrimary signal: consumer-resilienceOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.51Assigned Recession Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. | Consumer Resilience | -2.72% | -0.38% | +16.14% | +6.85% |
Historical observation only. This workspace does not provide investment advice, forecasts, price targets, buy/sell ratings, or claims of causation.
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