Recession Risk
Historical signal intelligence based on stored Merrowstone event memory and outcome observations. Results are ordered and labelled from existing database evidence only.
Signal Intelligence Summary
Merrowstone Research Board
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Visual Intelligence Graph
Use this graph to understand how the selected signal connects to events, companies, related signals, and observed outcomes.
Historical Events Timeline
Direct matches are shown separately from co-signal observations. Pending outcome windows are labelled rather than shown as broken data.
| Date | Company | Headline | Why related? | Primary Signal | 7d Return | 30d Return | 90d Return | Relative 90d Return | Board |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Direct Signal MatchesThe selected signal is the primary or directly attributed signal. | |||||||||
| 2022-12-07 | GS / Goldman Sachs | Morgan Stanley slashes 1,600 jobs | Show explanationAssigned Recession Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Recession Risk | +0.13% | -3.29% | -3.16% | -4.92% | |
| 2022-12-21 | AAPL / Apple | Ad tech firms focus on layoffs as ad recession fears build | Show explanationAssigned Recession Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Recession Risk | -6.95% | +1.79% | +17.77% | +14.10% | |
| 2025-04-03 | AAPL / Apple | Stocks Have Worst Day Since 2020 as Trump’s Tariffs Raise Risk of Recession | Show explanationAssigned Recession Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. |
Recession Risk | -6.28% | -2.12% | +4.69% | -11.26% | |
| 2025-03-24 | AAPL / Apple | BCX: Examining Inflation Protection Benefits And Recession Risks | Show explanationAssigned Recession Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. |
Recession Risk | +0.63% | -7.31% | -8.59% | -13.44% | |
| 2024-10-11 | AAPL / Apple | Texas Instruments: From Calculators to Master Capital Allocators | Show explanationAssigned Recession Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. |
Recession Risk | +3.27% | -1.35% | +4.20% | +3.71% | |
| 2022-12-29 | MSFT / Microsoft | What's next: Predictions, challenges and IT trends for 2023 | Show explanationAssigned Recession Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. |
Recession Risk | -7.76% | +0.71% | +16.68% | +11.61% | |
| 2022-12-16 | PFE / Pfizer | The top 10 pharma M&A deals of 2022 | Show explanationAssigned Recession Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. |
Recession Risk | +0.84% | -10.35% | -20.74% | -24.09% | |
| Related / Co-Signal EventsThe selected signal appears alongside another primary or contextual signal. | |||||||||
| 2026-03-16 | JPM / JPMorgan Chase | Goldman Sachs Stock Climbs Toward $800: Wall Street’s Most Powerful Bank Faces a New Test | Show explanationAssigned Recession Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. |
Oil Supply Risk | +1.31% | +7.46% | +12.19% | -0.95% | |
| 2026-03-13 | JPM / JPMorgan Chase | JPMorgan upgrades Alcoa stock rating to neutral on supply risks | Show explanationAssigned Recession Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. |
Dividend Increase | +1.10% | +11.24% | +11.17% | -0.53% | |
| 2026-03-09 | AAPL / Apple | Is the MacBook Neo a 'Recession Indicator'? Tech CEOs Are Divided Over Apple’s $599 Laptop | Show explanationAssigned Recession Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. |
Consumer Resilience | -2.72% | -0.38% | +16.14% | +6.85% | |
Historical observation only. This workspace does not provide investment advice, forecasts, price targets, buy/sell ratings, or claims of causation.