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Merrowstone Signal Intelligence

Risk On Rotation

Historical signal intelligence based on stored Merrowstone event memory and outcome observations. Results are ordered and labelled from existing database evidence only.

Signal Intelligence Summary

Signal nameRisk On Rotation
Historical events shown20
First occurrence shown2023-09-26
Most recent occurrence2026-06-05
Average 7d return+0.08%
Average 30d return+2.75%
Average 90d return+5.53%
Average relative 90d return-1.20%
Best observed outcomeXOM 2025-11-02 +22.08% 90d
Worst observed outcomeMSFT 2025-12-04 -15.54% 90d
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Historical Events Timeline

Direct matches are shown separately from co-signal observations. Pending outcome windows are labelled rather than shown as broken data.

Date Company Headline Why related? Primary Signal 7d Return 30d Return 90d Return Relative 90d Return
Direct Signal MatchesThe selected signal is the primary or directly attributed signal.
2026-02-25 AAPL / Apple Analysts say Apple is an AI 'survivor.' Here's why. Same signal: risk-on-rotationOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.59Assigned Risk-On Rotation because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Risk On Rotation -4.27% -9.27% +12.54% +3.96%
2025-12-04 MSFT / Microsoft BlackRock Remains Risk-on as ‘Mega Forces’ Like AI, Stablecoins Transform Financial Markets Same signal: risk-on-rotationOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: MSFTAttribution confidence: 0.59Assigned Risk-On Rotation because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Risk On Rotation +0.55% -1.66% -15.54% -15.94%
2025-11-02 XOM / Exxon Mobil Tech Slumped, Energy Rose, And Bitcoin Climbed In Mixed Market Same signal: risk-on-rotationOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: XOMAttribution confidence: 0.59Assigned Risk-On Rotation because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Risk On Rotation +3.38% +1.77% +22.08% +19.82%
2023-09-26 AAPL / Apple Buy the Dip in Apple, or Has the Trend Turned Rotten? Same signal: risk-on-rotationOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.59Assigned Risk-On Rotation because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Risk On Rotation +0.26% -2.95% +12.41% +0.27%
2026-02-23 META / Meta Platforms Is WPP Scangroup the Overlooked Africa Play in a US?Led Ad Rebound? Same signal: risk-on-rotationOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: METAAttribution confidence: 0.55Assigned Risk-On Rotation because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Risk On Rotation +2.56% -6.57% -3.83% -14.12%
2026-05-06 JPM / JPMorgan Chase Momentum Factor Roars as War Fears Fade on Wall Street Same signal: risk-on-rotationOutcome available: 7d, 30dTicker: JPMAttribution confidence: 0.83Assigned Risk-On Rotation because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Risk On Rotation -4.65% -0.80% Pending 90d window Pending 90d window
2026-05-03 AAPL / Apple Is the iShares Russell 1000 Growth ETF (IWF) a Smart Bet in Today's "Risk-On" Market Same signal: risk-on-rotationOutcome available: 7d, 30dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.59Assigned Risk-On Rotation because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Risk On Rotation +4.57% +12.62% Pending 90d window Pending 90d window
2026-04-27 AAPL / Apple Top 3 catalysts for Nasdaq 100 Index and QQQ ETF this week Same signal: risk-on-rotationOutcome available: 7d, 30dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.59Assigned Risk-On Rotation because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Risk On Rotation +3.45% +16.26% Pending 90d window Pending 90d window
2026-04-24 TSLA / Tesla AMC Shares Surge Wednesday: What's Driving The Move? Same signal: risk-on-rotationOutcome available: 7d, 30dTicker: TSLAAttribution confidence: 0.59Assigned Risk-On Rotation because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Risk On Rotation +3.86% +15.22% Pending 90d window Pending 90d window
2026-04-23 TSLA / Tesla Confluence Wealth Services Inc. Buys 3,239 Shares of Invesco QQQ $QQQ Same signal: risk-on-rotationOutcome available: 7d, 30dTicker: TSLAAttribution confidence: 0.59Assigned Risk-On Rotation because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Risk On Rotation +2.12% +16.02% Pending 90d window Pending 90d window
2026-04-15 TSLA / Tesla Allbirds, Hims & Hers, Microsoft, Xanadu Quantum And Tesla: Why These 5 Stocks Are On Investors' Radars Today Same signal: risk-on-rotationOutcome available: 7d, 30dTicker: TSLAAttribution confidence: 0.59Assigned Risk-On Rotation because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Risk On Rotation -1.13% +7.73% Pending 90d window Pending 90d window
2026-04-09 META / Meta Platforms Mag 7 Stocks Melt Up After Ceasefire—Wall Street Cheers Truce as Mega Caps Rally Same signal: risk-on-rotationOutcome available: 7d, 30dTicker: METAAttribution confidence: 0.59Assigned Risk-On Rotation because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Risk On Rotation +7.71% -4.70% Pending 90d window Pending 90d window
2026-06-05 JPM / JPMorgan Chase M&T Bank Corp stock (US55261F1049): shares gain as US bank sector rallies Same signal: risk-on-rotationOutcome available: 7dTicker: JPMAttribution confidence: 0.59Assigned Risk-On Rotation because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Risk On Rotation +2.67% No price data Pending 90d window Pending 90d window
2026-06-05 XOM / Exxon Mobil Monthly Asset Allocation Update – May 2026 Same signal: risk-on-rotationOutcome available: 7dTicker: XOMAttribution confidence: 0.59Assigned Risk-On Rotation because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Risk On Rotation -1.94% No price data Pending 90d window Pending 90d window
2026-06-04 MSFT / Microsoft Look to State Street, Invesco, VanEck for Top-Performing ETFs in 2026 Same signal: risk-on-rotationOutcome available: 7dTicker: MSFTAttribution confidence: 0.59Assigned Risk-On Rotation because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Risk On Rotation -8.81% No price data Pending 90d window Pending 90d window
2026-05-28 TSLA / Tesla Three Humanoid Robotics ETFs Built for the Tesla Optimus and Figure AI Era Most Investors Have Never Heard Of Same signal: risk-on-rotationOutcome available: 7dTicker: TSLAAttribution confidence: 0.59Assigned Risk-On Rotation because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Risk On Rotation -5.35% No price data Pending 90d window Pending 90d window
Related / Co-Signal EventsThe selected signal appears alongside another primary or contextual signal.
2026-05-11 AAPL / Apple The Stars Are Aligning For Apple: Get Ready for $300 Co-occurs with: risk-on-rotationPrimary signal: guidance-reaffirmedOutcome available: 7d, 30dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.59Assigned Risk-On Rotation because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Guidance Reaffirmed +1.76% -0.38% Pending 90d window Pending 90d window
2026-04-20 XOM / Exxon Mobil Oil Prices Fall but Supply Risks Are Far from Over Co-occurs with: risk-on-rotationPrimary signal: commodity-price-declineOutcome available: 7d, 30dTicker: XOMAttribution confidence: 0.59Assigned Risk-On Rotation because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Commodity Price Decline +0.35% +6.54% Pending 90d window Pending 90d window
2026-04-15 META / Meta Platforms Chewy and LendingTree Shares Are Soaring, What You Need To Know Co-occurs with: risk-on-rotationPrimary signal: ai-capex-growthOutcome available: 7d, 30dTicker: METAAttribution confidence: 0.59Assigned Risk-On Rotation because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Ai Capex Growth +0.47% -8.54% Pending 90d window Pending 90d window
2026-06-03 AAPL / Apple Synopsys vs Cadence (SNPS vs CDNS): Inside the EDA Duopoly Powering the AI Chip Boom Co-occurs with: risk-on-rotationPrimary signal: ai-capex-growthOutcome available: 7dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.59Assigned Risk-On Rotation because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. Ai Capex Growth -6.02% No price data Pending 90d window Pending 90d window

Related Signals

Related signals are ranked by co-occurrence, outcome availability, confidence where available, and recency. Observed returns are historical summaries only.

Guidance Reaffirmed 5 co-occurrences 5 with observed outcomes Avg observed 90d: +4.29% Latest: 2026-05-11 Ai Capex Growth 2 co-occurrences 1 with observed outcomes Avg observed 30d: -8.54% Latest: 2026-06-03 Commodity Price Decline 1 co-occurrence 1 with observed outcomes Avg observed 30d: +6.54% Latest: 2026-04-20 Deal Risk 1 co-occurrence 1 with observed outcomes Avg observed 30d: +7.73% Latest: 2026-04-15

Historical observation only. This workspace does not provide investment advice, forecasts, price targets, buy/sell ratings, or claims of causation.

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