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Merrowstone Signal Intelligence

Commodity Price Decline

Historical signal intelligence based on stored Merrowstone event memory and outcome observations. Results are ordered and labelled from existing database evidence only.

Signal Intelligence Summary

Signal nameCommodity Price Decline
Historical events shown19
First occurrence shown2022-12-02
Most recent occurrence2026-06-09
Average 7d return+0.05%
Average 30d return+0.69%
Average 90d return+7.11%
Average relative 90d return+2.35%
Best observed outcomeXOM 2025-11-06 +30.03% 90d
Worst observed outcomeXOM 2026-05-18 -12.31% 30d
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Historical Events Timeline

Direct matches are shown separately from co-signal observations. Pending outcome windows are labelled rather than shown as broken data.

Date Company Headline Why related? Primary Signal 7d Return 30d Return 90d Return Relative 90d Return
Direct Signal MatchesThe selected signal is the primary or directly attributed signal.
2026-02-12 XOM / Exxon Mobil I Said I'd Buy Chevron Over ConocoPhillips in 2026, and Chevron Is Already Up 19% This Year. Is the High-Yield Dividend Stock a Buy Near Its All-Time High? Same signal: commodity-price-declineOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: XOMAttribution confidence: 0.72Assigned Commodity Price Decline because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, eve… Commodity Price Decline +0.69% +4.87% +1.09% -8.16%
2025-11-25 GOOGL / Alphabet Dow Adds Over 650 Points for Best Day Since August Same signal: commodity-price-declineOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: GOOGLAttribution confidence: 0.67Assigned Commodity Price Decline because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, eve… Commodity Price Decline -2.36% -3.01% -3.63% -5.02%
2025-11-06 XOM / Exxon Mobil U.S. shale operators defy $60 oil to sustain production growth Same signal: commodity-price-declineOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: XOMAttribution confidence: 0.67Assigned Commodity Price Decline because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, eve… Commodity Price Decline +3.75% +2.18% +30.03% +27.36%
2022-12-02 XOM / Exxon Mobil ENFR Outperforms Broader Energy Sector in November Same signal: commodity-price-declineOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: XOMAttribution confidence: 0.67Assigned Commodity Price Decline because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, eve… Commodity Price Decline -5.75% -3.05% +2.18% +3.97%
2026-02-17 XOM / Exxon Mobil Gasoline prices today: UGA ETF ticks up even as RBOB slips on U.S.-Iran talk hopes Same signal: commodity-price-declineOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: XOMAttribution confidence: 0.63Assigned Commodity Price Decline because the event showed strong term evidence, event/entity hint alignment, … Commodity Price Decline +2.10% +8.19% +10.53% +2.06%
2026-02-05 XOM / Exxon Mobil Exxon Mobil (XOM) stock slips as oil drops — what to watch before Friday U.S.-Iran talks Same signal: commodity-price-declineOutcome available: 7d, 30d, 90dTicker: XOMAttribution confidence: 0.63Assigned Commodity Price Decline because the event showed strong term evidence, event/entity hint alignment, … Commodity Price Decline +3.32% +3.67% +2.47% -6.13%
2026-04-20 XOM / Exxon Mobil Oil Prices Fall but Supply Risks Are Far from Over Same signal: commodity-price-declineOutcome available: 7d, 30dTicker: XOMAttribution confidence: 0.67Assigned Commodity Price Decline because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, eve… Commodity Price Decline +0.35% +6.54% Pending 90d window Pending 90d window
2026-05-21 XOM / Exxon Mobil SM Energy, Transocean, and Valaris Shares Are Falling, What You Need To Know Same signal: commodity-price-declineOutcome available: 7d, 30dTicker: XOMAttribution confidence: 0.63Assigned Commodity Price Decline because the event showed strong term evidence, event/entity hint alignment, … Commodity Price Decline -5.36% -10.83% Pending 90d window Pending 90d window
2026-05-06 TSLA / Tesla ITT (ITT) Stock Trades Up, Here Is Why Same signal: commodity-price-declineOutcome available: 7d, 30dTicker: TSLAAttribution confidence: 0.63Assigned Commodity Price Decline because the event showed strong term evidence, event/entity hint alignment, … Commodity Price Decline +11.67% -1.94% Pending 90d window Pending 90d window
2026-05-05 AAPL / Apple Stock Market Today: SPY, QQQ Rally to Record Highs as U.S.-Iran Ceasefire Holds Firm; Oil Retreats Same signal: commodity-price-declineOutcome available: 7d, 30dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.63Assigned Commodity Price Decline because the event showed strong term evidence, event/entity hint alignment, … Commodity Price Decline +3.83% +9.62% Pending 90d window Pending 90d window
2026-04-09 XOM / Exxon Mobil Exxon Mobil And Energy Stocks Tumble As Oil Prices Sink Below $100 Same signal: commodity-price-declineOutcome available: 7d, 30dTicker: XOMAttribution confidence: 0.63Assigned Commodity Price Decline because the event showed strong term evidence, event/entity hint alignment, … Commodity Price Decline -1.97% -3.46% Pending 90d window Pending 90d window
2026-06-09 AAPL / Apple Market Indexes Retreat Tuesday as the Tech Sell-Off Returns Same signal: commodity-price-declineOutcome available: 7dTicker: AAPLAttribution confidence: 0.67Assigned Commodity Price Decline because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, eve… Commodity Price Decline +2.99% Pending 30d window Pending 90d window Pending 90d window
2026-06-02 XOM / Exxon Mobil European stocks close higher as oil prices slip; Abivax shares collapse Same signal: commodity-price-declineOutcome available: 7dTicker: XOMAttribution confidence: 0.63Assigned Commodity Price Decline because the event showed strong term evidence, event/entity hint alignment, … Commodity Price Decline -0.43% No price data Pending 90d window Pending 90d window
2026-05-27 XOM / Exxon Mobil Devon Energy Falls as Oil Prices Slide and Investors Weigh a $2.6B Delaware Basin Lease Purchase Same signal: commodity-price-declineOutcome available: 7dTicker: XOMAttribution confidence: 0.63Assigned Commodity Price Decline because the event showed strong term evidence, event/entity hint alignment, … Commodity Price Decline +3.13% No price data Pending 90d window Pending 90d window
Related / Co-Signal EventsThe selected signal appears alongside another primary or contextual signal.
2026-05-18 XOM / Exxon Mobil Oil prices fall after Trump delays planned Iran strike, easing supply disruption fears Co-occurs with: commodity-price-declinePrimary signal: oil-supply-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30dTicker: XOMAttribution confidence: 0.95Assigned Commodity Price Decline because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, eve… Oil Supply Risk -6.65% -12.31% Pending 90d window Pending 90d window
2026-05-05 XOM / Exxon Mobil Oil slides as traders assess Middle East developments with Iran attacks keeping markets jittery Co-occurs with: commodity-price-declinePrimary signal: oil-supply-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30dTicker: XOMAttribution confidence: 0.67Assigned Commodity Price Decline because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, eve… Oil Supply Risk -2.74% -1.17% Pending 90d window Pending 90d window
2026-04-18 XOM / Exxon Mobil Why ConocoPhillips Stock Dropped on Friday Co-occurs with: commodity-price-declinePrimary signal: oil-supply-riskOutcome available: 7d, 30dTicker: XOMAttribution confidence: 0.67Assigned Commodity Price Decline because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, eve… Oil Supply Risk +1.20% +10.34% Pending 90d window Pending 90d window
2026-06-05 AMZN / Amazon Peabody Energy and HighPeak Energy Stocks Trade Down, What You Need To Know Co-occurs with: commodity-price-declinePrimary signal: oil-supply-riskOutcome available: 7dTicker: AMZNAttribution confidence: 0.63Assigned Commodity Price Decline because the event showed strong term evidence, event/entity hint alignment, … Oil Supply Risk -3.04% No price data Pending 90d window Pending 90d window
2026-06-04 CRWD / CrowdStrike Nasdaq Futures Plunge as Broadcom Sinks on Disappointing AI Chip Sales Forecast Co-occurs with: commodity-price-declinePrimary signal: ai-capex-growthOutcome available: 7dTicker: CRWDAttribution confidence: 0.63Assigned Commodity Price Decline because the event showed strong term evidence, event/entity hint alignment, … Ai Capex Growth -3.83% No price data Pending 90d window Pending 90d window

Historical observation only. This workspace does not provide investment advice, forecasts, price targets, buy/sell ratings, or claims of causation.

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