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Merrowstone Signal Intelligence

Oil Supply Risk

Historical signal intelligence based on stored Merrowstone event memory and outcome observations. Results are ordered and labelled from existing database evidence only.

Signal Intelligence Summary

Signal nameOil Supply Risk
Historical events shown215
First occurrence shown2023-12-18
Most recent occurrence2026-06-15
Average 7d return+0.07%
Average 30d return+0.67%
Average 90d return+2.56%
Average relative 90d return-7.24%
Best observed outcomeCRWD 2026-03-03 +99.83% 90d
Worst observed outcomeMETA 2025-10-19 -15.67% 90d
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Visual Intelligence Graph

Use this graph to understand how the selected signal connects to events, companies, related signals, and observed outcomes.

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Historical Events Timeline

Direct matches are shown separately from co-signal observations. Pending outcome windows are labelled rather than shown as broken data.

Showing 25 of 214 displayed observations after duplicate grouping.
Date Company Headline Why related? Primary Signal 7d Return 30d Return 90d Return Relative 90d Return Board
Direct Signal MatchesThe selected signal is the primary or directly attributed signal.
2026-03-13 XOM / Exxon Mobil JPMorgan upgrades Sasol stock rating on Middle East oil concerns Oil Supply Risk +2.27% -2.23% -5.46% -17.16%
2026-03-06 XOM / Exxon Mobil BP PLC Pulls Foreign Staff From Iraq’s Rumaila Field After Drones, Raising Fresh Supply Fears Oil Supply Risk +3.25% +8.04% +1.23% -11.67%
2026-03-03 XOM / Exxon Mobil Scenario Analysis: Middle East War, Oil and the Stagflation Threat Oil Supply Risk -2.44% +5.84% -0.95% -12.75%
2026-03-02 XOM / Exxon Mobil XOM stock today jumps as oil price spikes on US-Iran tensions – here's what investors need to know about Exxon Mobil stock price target
2 related observations on this date
Oil Supply Risk -2.45% +4.25% -2.48% -13.30%
2026-03-16 JPM / JPMorgan Chase Sasol (SSL) Climbs 26%, Hits New High on 122% Analyst Upgrade Oil Supply Risk +1.31% +7.46% +12.19% -0.95%
2026-03-03 XOM / Exxon Mobil BATL stock steadies in premarket after doubling as Hormuz fears lift oil — what’s next for Battalion Oil Oil Supply Risk -2.44% +5.84% -0.95% -12.75%
2026-03-13 XOM / Exxon Mobil Goldman Sachs lifts oil price forecasts on weaker Middle East output Oil Supply Risk +2.27% -2.23% -5.46% -17.16%
2026-03-13 XOM / Exxon Mobil Goldman hikes average Brent oil forecast to over $100 a barrel for March Oil Supply Risk +2.27% -2.23% -5.46% -17.16%
2026-03-03 XOM / Exxon Mobil US-Israel strikes on Iran: What investors need to know Oil Supply Risk -2.44% +5.84% -0.95% -12.75%
2026-03-02 XOM / Exxon Mobil ConocoPhillips stock jumps as oil surges on Hormuz fears — what investors watch next Oil Supply Risk -2.45% +4.25% -2.48% -13.30%
2026-02-20 XOM / Exxon Mobil Citigroup looks at the scenarios for crude as tensions rise Oil Supply Risk +3.54% +9.40% +6.15% -1.87%
2026-03-12 XOM / Exxon Mobil Equinor has no spare oil and gas capacity, CEO says Oil Supply Risk +3.02% -0.58% -1.23% -10.44%
2026-03-11 XOM / Exxon Mobil A Multi-Asset Playbook for Geopolitical Shocks and Oil Supply Disruption Oil Supply Risk +3.96% +0.61% -1.09% -10.37%
2026-03-09 XOM / Exxon Mobil Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) Price Target Raised to $151 Oil Supply Risk +4.51% +3.84% +1.56% -7.73%
2026-03-09 XOM / Exxon Mobil BP PLC Shares Rise as Oil Prices Spike, but Traders Still Bet the Windfall Fades Oil Supply Risk +4.51% +3.84% +1.56% -7.73%
2026-03-08 XOM / Exxon Mobil Deutsche Bank: Middle East energy shock could derail BoE’s disinflation path Oil Supply Risk +3.98% +8.40% +1.04% -9.20%
2026-03-06 XOM / Exxon Mobil Iran Needs Few Drones To 'Blow Up One Ship' To Trigger A 'Massive Oil Shock,' Says Robin Brooks Oil Supply Risk +3.25% +8.04% +1.23% -11.67%
2026-03-06 XOM / Exxon Mobil Perspective: Mid-Day Commentary for March 6 Oil Supply Risk +3.25% +8.04% +1.23% -11.67%
2026-03-04 XOM / Exxon Mobil Hideout in the Energy Sector? Here are the Top Oil Stocks to Watch Oil Supply Risk +1.17% +9.04% +0.50% -10.66%
2026-03-02 XOM / Exxon Mobil Single-Day Surge of Over 260%? Multiple Energy Small-Cap Stocks Soar Pre-Market, Geopolitical Risks Drive Up Risk Premium Oil Supply Risk -2.45% +4.25% -2.48% -13.30%
2026-02-27 XOM / Exxon Mobil Oil price forecast: A bearish outlook for Brent in 2026 Oil Supply Risk -0.85% +12.44% -2.98% -13.28%
2026-01-06 CRWD / CrowdStrike Exxon Mobil (XOM) stock slips after Venezuela-fueled rally as investors weigh oil supply risks Oil Supply Risk +2.12% -17.71% -13.03% -8.54%
2026-03-16 JPM / JPMorgan Chase Goldman Sachs Stock Climbs Toward $800: Wall Street’s Most Powerful Bank Faces a New Test Oil Supply Risk +1.31% +7.46% +12.19% -0.95%
2026-03-16 XOM / Exxon Mobil Suncor Energy Inc Stock (ISIN: CA8667961053) Gains Momentum Amid Oil Price Surge Oil Supply Risk +2.48% -5.23% -9.77% -22.90%
2026-03-16 XOM / Exxon Mobil Conflict in Iran and the Middle East – Market Implications Oil Supply Risk +2.48% -5.23% -9.77% -22.90%

Historical observation only. This workspace does not provide investment advice, forecasts, price targets, buy/sell ratings, or claims of causation.

InvestSmartDaily.pro content is provided for information and education only and does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always do your own research and consider speaking to a qualified financial adviser before making investment decisions.

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