Geopolitical Risk
Historical signal intelligence based on stored Merrowstone event memory and outcome observations. Results are ordered and labelled from existing database evidence only.
Signal Intelligence Summary
Merrowstone Research Board
Save selected events, signals, companies, graph items, and outcome context on this device for later research.
Research boards are stored in this browser using local storage. They are not synced across devices. You can clear or export the board at any time.Save current research view
Choose what to capture from this Continue Research page. You can remove items later.
Saved research view summary will appear here after saving.
Visual Intelligence Graph
Use this graph to understand how the selected signal connects to events, companies, related signals, and observed outcomes.
Historical Events Timeline
Direct matches are shown separately from co-signal observations. Pending outcome windows are labelled rather than shown as broken data.
| Date | Company | Headline | Why related? | Primary Signal | 7d Return | 30d Return | 90d Return | Relative 90d Return | Board |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Direct Signal MatchesThe selected signal is the primary or directly attributed signal. | |||||||||
| 2018-04-03 | — | Panther party for self zazie beetz tax fncact [gkg] | Geopolitical Risk | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | ||
| 2018-04-03 | — | Novartis venture fund stephen squinto life science innovations tax fncact [gkg] | Geopolitical Risk | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | ||
| 2018-04-03 | — | Korean central news agency senior chinese tax fncact [gkg] | Geopolitical Risk | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | ||
| 2018-04-03 | — | White house vladimir putin leader [gkg] | Geopolitical Risk | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | ||
| 2018-04-03 | General Motors | Brookings institution white house epu policy [gkg] | Geopolitical Risk | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | ||
| Related / Co-Signal EventsThe selected signal appears alongside another primary or contextual signal. | |||||||||
| 2026-03-13 | MSFT / Microsoft | Stryker Cyberattack Adds to Fears of New Front in Iran War | Show explanationAssigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Cybersecurity Incident | -3.46% | -2.83% | -1.10% | -12.80% | |
| 2026-03-03 | XOM / Exxon Mobil | Scenario Analysis: Middle East War, Oil and the Stagflation Threat | Show explanationAssigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Oil Supply Risk | -2.44% | +5.84% | -0.95% | -12.75% | |
| 2026-03-02 | XOM / Exxon Mobil | Exxon Mobil Stock Rallies on Oil Price Surge Amid U.S.-Iran Conflict Escalation | Show explanationAssigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Commodity Price Spike | -2.45% | +4.25% | -2.48% | -13.30% | |
| 2026-03-15 | MSFT / Microsoft | Why EQT Corporation (EQT) is One of the Most Undervalued Energy Stocks to Buy Now | Show explanationAssigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Oil Supply Risk | -3.17% | -0.62% | +1.28% | -13.00% | |
| 2026-03-13 | XOM / Exxon Mobil | Why Exxon and Energy Stocks Finally Started to Rise This Week as the Iran War Escalated | Show explanationAssigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Oil Supply Risk | +2.27% | -2.23% | -5.46% | -17.16% | |
| 2026-03-11 | XOM / Exxon Mobil | A Multi-Asset Playbook for Geopolitical Shocks and Oil Supply Disruption | Show explanationAssigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Oil Supply Risk | +3.96% | +0.61% | -1.09% | -10.37% | |
| 2026-03-10 | XOM / Exxon Mobil | Stocks Rally After Trump Signals Iran War May End Sooner Than Expected | Show explanationAssigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Oil Supply Risk | +7.21% | +4.66% | +3.14% | -6.32% | |
| 2026-03-06 | XOM / Exxon Mobil | Iran Needs Few Drones To 'Blow Up One Ship' To Trigger A 'Massive Oil Shock,' Says Robin Brooks | Show explanationAssigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Oil Supply Risk | +3.25% | +8.04% | +1.23% | -11.67% | |
| 2026-03-05 | XOM / Exxon Mobil | KEPCO Monitors Iran Crisis, Fearing Massive Deficits Amid Rising Energy Prices | Show explanationAssigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Oil Supply Risk | +1.84% | +8.36% | +1.86% | -9.15% | |
| 2026-03-03 | XOM / Exxon Mobil | Global Stocks Slump, Oil Soars as War With Iran Engulfs Region | Show explanationAssigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Oil Supply Risk | -2.44% | +5.84% | -0.95% | -12.75% | |
| 2026-03-02 | XOM / Exxon Mobil | Exxon Mobil climbs as crude prices spike on renewed Middle East supply-risk fears | Show explanationAssigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Oil Supply Risk | -2.45% | +4.25% | -2.48% | -13.30% | |
| 2026-03-02 | XOM / Exxon Mobil | Detroit automakers brace for ripple effects from U.S.-Iran war strikes | Show explanationAssigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Commodity Price Spike | -2.45% | +4.25% | -2.48% | -13.30% | |
| 2026-02-27 | XOM / Exxon Mobil | Oil price forecast: A bearish outlook for Brent in 2026 | Show explanationAssigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, contextual term evidence, entity context. |
Oil Supply Risk | -0.85% | +12.44% | -2.98% | -13.28% | |
| 2026-03-16 | XOM / Exxon Mobil | Commodities are set to play a more prominent role in portfolios in 2026 | Show explanationAssigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. |
Oil Supply Risk | +2.48% | -5.23% | -9.77% | -22.90% | |
| 2026-03-16 | XOM / Exxon Mobil | Europe Faces High War-Related Gas Prices Through 2027, HSBC Says | Show explanationAssigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. |
Oil Supply Risk | +2.48% | -5.23% | -9.77% | -22.90% | |
| 2026-03-15 | JPM / JPMorgan Chase | Bitcoin beat the S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite and gold since the start of the Iran war | Show explanationAssigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. |
Earnings Beat | +2.28% | +10.33% | +13.26% | -1.02% | |
| 2026-03-11 | JPM / JPMorgan Chase | Simon Property Group Bolsters War Chest with $5 Billion Credit Line, Signaling 2026 M&A Offensive | Show explanationAssigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. |
Buyback Authorisation | +0.08% | +8.32% | +9.31% | +0.04% | |
| 2026-03-11 | XOM / Exxon Mobil | Canadian oil companies expected to ‘benefit disproportionately’ during the war in Iran | Show explanationAssigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. |
Oil Supply Risk | +3.96% | +0.61% | -1.09% | -10.37% | |
| 2026-03-10 | XOM / Exxon Mobil | Exclusive: Exxon CEO says non-essential employees in Middle East have been evacuated | Show explanationAssigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. |
Oil Supply Risk | +7.21% | +4.66% | +3.14% | -6.32% | |
| 2026-03-09 | XOM / Exxon Mobil | War Flips LNG Surplus Narrative, Morgan Stanley Says | Show explanationAssigned Geopolitical Risk because the event showed strong term evidence, entity context. |
Commodity Price Spike | +4.51% | +3.84% | +1.56% | -7.73% | |
Historical observation only. This workspace does not provide investment advice, forecasts, price targets, buy/sell ratings, or claims of causation.