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Merrowstone Signal Intelligence

Oil Supply Risk

Historical signal intelligence based on stored Merrowstone event memory and outcome observations. Results are ordered and labelled from existing database evidence only.

Signal Intelligence Summary

Signal nameOil Supply Risk
Historical events shown215
First occurrence shown2023-12-18
Most recent occurrence2026-06-15
Average 7d return+0.07%
Average 30d return+0.67%
Average 90d return+2.56%
Average relative 90d return-7.24%
Best observed outcomeCRWD 2026-03-03 +99.83% 90d
Worst observed outcomeMETA 2025-10-19 -15.67% 90d
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Merrowstone Research Board

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Visual Intelligence Graph

Use this graph to understand how the selected signal connects to events, companies, related signals, and observed outcomes.

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Historical Events Timeline

Direct matches are shown separately from co-signal observations. Pending outcome windows are labelled rather than shown as broken data.

Showing 25 of 214 displayed observations after duplicate grouping.
Date Company Headline Why related? Primary Signal 7d Return 30d Return 90d Return Relative 90d Return Board
Direct Signal MatchesThe selected signal is the primary or directly attributed signal.
2026-03-16 XOM / Exxon Mobil Europe Faces High War-Related Gas Prices Through 2027, HSBC Says Oil Supply Risk +2.48% -5.23% -9.77% -22.90%
2026-03-15 XOM / Exxon Mobil Assessing Golar LNG (GLNG) Valuation After Strait Of Hormuz Disruption To Global LNG Flows Oil Supply Risk +3.21% -4.41% -9.12% -23.41%
2026-03-15 MSFT / Microsoft Why EQT Corporation (EQT) is One of the Most Undervalued Energy Stocks to Buy Now Oil Supply Risk -3.17% -0.62% +1.28% -13.00%
2026-03-14 JPM / JPMorgan Chase Sasol (SSL) Hits 2-Year High as JPMorgan Turns Bullish, Ups Price Target by Over 100% Oil Supply Risk +2.28% +11.24% +13.73% +1.43%
2026-03-13 XOM / Exxon Mobil The Nitrogen King: Why CF Industries is March 2026’s #1 S&P 500 Performer Oil Supply Risk +2.27% -2.23% -5.46% -17.16%
2026-03-13 XOM / Exxon Mobil Exxon Mobil Stock Surges 30% YTD Amid Texas Move and Analyst Upgrades Oil Supply Risk +2.27% -2.23% -5.46% -17.16%
2026-03-13 XOM / Exxon Mobil Why Exxon and Energy Stocks Finally Started to Rise This Week as the Iran War Escalated Oil Supply Risk +2.27% -2.23% -5.46% -17.16%
2026-03-12 XOM / Exxon Mobil This Saudi ETF could rebound from 5-year lows as the Iran oil shock hits Oil Supply Risk +3.02% -0.58% -1.23% -10.44%
2026-03-12 MSFT / Microsoft Stock Market Live March 12, 2026: S&P 500 (SPY) Slips on Oil Again Oil Supply Risk -3.20% -4.35% -0.91% -10.12%
2026-03-12 MSFT / Microsoft Stock Market Today Review: SPY, QQQ Tumble as Oil Approaches $100 on Iranian Leader’s Vow to Keep Hormuz Closed Oil Supply Risk -3.20% -4.35% -0.91% -10.12%
2026-03-11 XOM / Exxon Mobil Marathon Petroleum jumps as energy and refining names rally amid oil-market shock Oil Supply Risk +3.96% +0.61% -1.09% -10.37%
2026-03-10 XOM / Exxon Mobil Stocks Rally After Trump Signals Iran War May End Sooner Than Expected Oil Supply Risk +7.21% +4.66% +3.14% -6.32%
2026-03-10 XOM / Exxon Mobil Exclusive: Exxon CEO says non-essential employees in Middle East have been evacuated Oil Supply Risk +7.21% +4.66% +3.14% -6.32%
2026-03-09 XOM / Exxon Mobil Oil Prices Jump on Geopolitical Tensions: 3 Energy Stocks to Watch Oil Supply Risk +4.51% +3.84% +1.56% -7.73%
2026-03-09 MSFT / Microsoft Nvidia’s AI Supply Chain Has A Strait Of Hormuz Risk - NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA) Oil Supply Risk -2.31% -8.57% +0.79% -8.50%
2026-03-06 XOM / Exxon Mobil Goldman Sees $100 Oil Coming, And One Income ETF Bets 47% They’re Right Oil Supply Risk +3.25% +8.04% +1.23% -11.67%
2026-03-06 XOM / Exxon Mobil Oil Above $90 Pushes US Gasoline Prices To Highest Level Since 2024 — These Energy Stocks Could Benefit Oil Supply Risk +3.25% +8.04% +1.23% -11.67%
2026-03-05 XOM / Exxon Mobil Exxon Mobil To Send First Shipment Of 600,000 Barrels Of Fuel From U.S. Gulf Coast To Australia Amid Shipping Disruptions Oil Supply Risk +1.84% +8.36% +1.86% -9.15%
2026-03-05 XOM / Exxon Mobil KEPCO Monitors Iran Crisis, Fearing Massive Deficits Amid Rising Energy Prices Oil Supply Risk +1.84% +8.36% +1.86% -9.15%
2026-03-05 XOM / Exxon Mobil Crude Awakening: Soaring Oil Prices Bad for Consumers, Great for Traders Oil Supply Risk +1.84% +8.36% +1.86% -9.15%
2026-03-04 XOM / Exxon Mobil Woodside Energy share price rises as oil jumps on Hormuz fears — what to watch next Oil Supply Risk +1.17% +9.04% +0.50% -10.66%
2026-03-04 XOM / Exxon Mobil Woodside Energy (ASX:WDS) Stock Price Up as Hormuz Strait Blockade Sparks Oil Market Fear Oil Supply Risk +1.17% +9.04% +0.50% -10.66%
2026-03-03 XOM / Exxon Mobil Global Stocks Slump, Oil Soars as War With Iran Engulfs Region Oil Supply Risk -2.44% +5.84% -0.95% -12.75%
2026-03-03 CRWD / CrowdStrike Stock Market Today: Dow Jones, S&P 500 Futures Plunge After Closure Of Strait Of Hormuz—Coherent, Credo Technology, CrowdStrike In Focus Oil Supply Risk +11.47% +1.97% +99.83% +88.03%
2026-03-02 XOM / Exxon Mobil Goldman Sachs Stock Plunges 7.5% on Geopolitical Risks as U.S.-Iran Conflict Rattles Markets Oil Supply Risk -2.45% +4.25% -2.48% -13.30%

Historical observation only. This workspace does not provide investment advice, forecasts, price targets, buy/sell ratings, or claims of causation.

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