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Merrowstone Signal Intelligence

Commodity Price Spike

Historical signal intelligence based on stored Merrowstone event memory and outcome observations. Results are ordered and labelled from existing database evidence only.

Signal Intelligence Summary

Signal nameCommodity Price Spike
Historical events shown110
First occurrence shown2018-03-03
Most recent occurrence2026-06-15
Average 7d return+0.60%
Average 30d return-0.38%
Average 90d return+0.09%
Average relative 90d return-5.13%
Best observed outcomeXOM 2025-12-29 +43.21% 90d
Worst observed outcomeCAT 2018-09-22 -22.73% 90d
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Merrowstone Research Board

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Visual Intelligence Graph

Use this graph to understand how the selected signal connects to events, companies, related signals, and observed outcomes.

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Historical Events Timeline

Direct matches are shown separately from co-signal observations. Pending outcome windows are labelled rather than shown as broken data.

Showing 25 of 109 displayed observations after duplicate grouping.
Date Company Headline Why related? Primary Signal 7d Return 30d Return 90d Return Relative 90d Return Board
Direct Signal MatchesThe selected signal is the primary or directly attributed signal.
2018-03-27 CAT / Caterpillar 'Wait and see'? Lafayette manufacturers evaluate tariffs' impact Commodity Price Spike -1.31% +0.04% -6.61% -11.07%
2018-03-21 DE / Deere Tractor maker Deere & Co fears a hit from Trump tariffs and retaliation Commodity Price Spike -3.78% -6.65% -9.62% -11.95%
2018-03-13 NUE / Nucor Steel manufacturer announces Frostproof plant Commodity Price Spike -4.93% -7.73% -0.04% -1.10%
2018-03-12 NUE / Nucor Nucor to Build New Florida Steel Mill as Domestic Producers Study Tariff Impact Commodity Price Spike -3.49% -9.34% -0.27% -0.69%
2018-03-08 NUE / Nucor Trump's tariffs could backfire Commodity Price Spike -2.14% -9.92% +0.10% -1.51%
2018-03-07 CAT / Caterpillar Here’s what the 30 Dow industrials companies say about a potential trade war Commodity Price Spike +0.68% -5.62% +1.50% +0.24%
2018-03-03 BA / Boeing Trump’s Tariff Plan Leaves Blue-Collar Winners and Losers (Published 2018) Commodity Price Spike -0.14% -6.45% +4.01% +1.93%
2026-04-30 XOM / Exxon Mobil Shell and BP rise as Brent oil price surges above $126 on fears of US escalation of Iran war Commodity Price Spike -5.02% -2.55% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-04-29 XOM / Exxon Mobil APA Corporation and Occidental Petroleum Stocks Trade Up, What You Need To Know Commodity Price Spike -3.87% -5.45% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-04-15 XOM / Exxon Mobil Oilpatch holding off on investment changes despite crude price surge Commodity Price Spike +0.33% +6.70% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-05-30 XOM / Exxon Mobil ExxonMobil Warns of Sharp Energy Price Surge Amid Inventory Depletion | 2026 - News and Statistics Commodity Price Spike +4.47% -6.33% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-05-21 XOM / Exxon Mobil Trump's Record Oil Reserve Drawdown Is Becoming A One-Way Bet Commodity Price Spike -5.36% -10.83% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-05-18 XOM / Exxon Mobil Borr Drilling and Core Laboratories Shares Are Soaring, What You Need To Know Commodity Price Spike -6.65% -12.31% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-04-11 XOM / Exxon Mobil EOG Resources Leads Daily Turnover Charts Amid Tax Increase and Oil Price Surge, Triggering $420 Million Trading Halt Commodity Price Spike -3.17% -1.86% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-04-10 XOM / Exxon Mobil Marathon Petroleum Corp Stock (MPC) Moved Down by 3.47% on Apr 9: What Investors Need To Know Commodity Price Spike -3.98% -1.86% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-05-19 XOM / Exxon Mobil Market Pulse | Fixed Income and Bond Market Trends Commodity Price Spike -7.84% -15.22% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-05-16 XOM / Exxon Mobil Evolution Petroleum Reports Q3 2026 Results: Full Earnings Call Transcript Commodity Price Spike -5.14% -10.76% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-05-12 XOM / Exxon Mobil Petrobras Misses Estimates Commodity Price Spike +8.65% -2.01% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-05-08 XOM / Exxon Mobil Market Pulse: Global Fixed Income Update Commodity Price Spike +9.98% +5.68% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-05-06 XOM / Exxon Mobil Occidental scraps new oil hedges as Iran war fuels price volatility Commodity Price Spike +1.94% +1.51% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-05-01 XOM / Exxon Mobil Buy This ETF if You Want to Benefit From High Oil Prices Without Wild Swings Commodity Price Spike -5.36% -1.54% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-04-09 XOM / Exxon Mobil The Mother Of All Energy Crises Is Just Beginning, IEA Warns - April Will Be 'Much Worse' Commodity Price Spike -1.97% -3.46% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-05-12 XOM / Exxon Mobil US releases another wave of emergency oil as gas prices bite Commodity Price Spike +8.65% -2.01% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-05-06 XOM / Exxon Mobil Middle East supply shock hits fertilizer trade as CF earns $615M Commodity Price Spike +1.94% +1.51% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-04-25 XOM / Exxon Mobil Indonesia Energy (INDO) stock soars on Mideast supply shock fears Commodity Price Spike +3.21% +1.29% No price data Outcome unavailable

Historical observation only. This workspace does not provide investment advice, forecasts, price targets, buy/sell ratings, or claims of causation.

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