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Merrowstone Signal Intelligence

Oil Supply Risk

Historical signal intelligence based on stored Merrowstone event memory and outcome observations. Results are ordered and labelled from existing database evidence only.

Signal Intelligence Summary

Signal nameOil Supply Risk
Historical events shown215
First occurrence shown2023-12-18
Most recent occurrence2026-06-15
Average 7d return+0.07%
Average 30d return+0.67%
Average 90d return+2.56%
Average relative 90d return-7.24%
Best observed outcomeCRWD 2026-03-03 +99.83% 90d
Worst observed outcomeMETA 2025-10-19 -15.67% 90d
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Merrowstone Research Board

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Visual Intelligence Graph

Use this graph to understand how the selected signal connects to events, companies, related signals, and observed outcomes.

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Historical Events Timeline

Direct matches are shown separately from co-signal observations. Pending outcome windows are labelled rather than shown as broken data.

Showing 25 of 214 displayed observations after duplicate grouping.
Date Company Headline Why related? Primary Signal 7d Return 30d Return 90d Return Relative 90d Return Board
Direct Signal MatchesThe selected signal is the primary or directly attributed signal.
2026-05-01 XOM / Exxon Mobil Exxon Mobil Beats On Revenue Despite Middle East Turbulence, Profit Slides Oil Supply Risk -5.36% -1.54% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-05-01 XOM / Exxon Mobil Oil Near $100 Raises Fresh Concerns Over Inflation Oil Supply Risk -5.36% -1.54% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-05-01 XOM / Exxon Mobil Exxon, Chevron Beat Profit Estimates on War-Driven Oil Rally Oil Supply Risk -5.36% -1.54% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-05-01 XOM / Exxon Mobil Imperial Oil churning out more diesel, jet fuel as Mideast war drives up prices Oil Supply Risk -5.36% -1.54% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-04-28 XOM / Exxon Mobil Morgan Stanley sees dollar risks skewed to downside as energy shock sensitivity fades Oil Supply Risk +2.87% -1.73% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-04-28 XOM / Exxon Mobil Morning Commentary for April 28 Oil Supply Risk +2.87% -1.73% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-04-28 XOM / Exxon Mobil Financial Markets Drift From Energy Market Reality Oil Supply Risk +2.87% -1.73% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-04-27 XOM / Exxon Mobil BP Emerges as Top Big Oil Stock During Iran War Oil Supply Risk +3.71% +0.48% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-04-27 XOM / Exxon Mobil BP Gains on Exxon to Emerge as Top Big-Oil Stock During Iran War Oil Supply Risk +3.71% +0.48% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-04-21 XOM / Exxon Mobil The Global Energy ETF That Turns a Middle East Crisis Into a Worldwide Dividend Machine Oil Supply Risk +1.48% +5.38% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-04-21 XOM / Exxon Mobil Crude Oil Forecast Splits on Critical Price Zones Oil Supply Risk +1.48% +5.38% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-04-20 XOM / Exxon Mobil Perspective: Morning Commentary for April 20 Oil Supply Risk +0.35% +6.54% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-04-19 TSLA / Tesla Tesla Earnings, Hormuz and Other Key Things to Watch this Week Oil Supply Risk -5.48% +0.87% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-04-19 XOM / Exxon Mobil Energy Stocks Plummet As Iran Reopens Strait of Hormuz to Commercial Shipping Oil Supply Risk +1.20% +11.75% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-04-18 XOM / Exxon Mobil Why ConocoPhillips Stock Dropped on Friday Oil Supply Risk +1.20% +10.34% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-04-17 XOM / Exxon Mobil Watch Oil Shock May Weigh on Equities: Morgan Stanley's Sibal Oil Supply Risk +1.69% +10.34% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-04-17 XOM / Exxon Mobil ProFrac and Nabors Industries Shares Are Falling, What You Need To Know Oil Supply Risk +1.69% +10.34% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-04-15 TSLA / Tesla The Strangest Oil Investment in America Just Had One of Its Best Years Ever Oil Supply Risk -1.13% +7.73% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-04-15 XOM / Exxon Mobil Trump Says Hormuz Is 'Permanently' Open: Data Says Otherwise - United States Oil Fund (ARCA:USO) Oil Supply Risk +0.33% +6.70% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-04-14 XOM / Exxon Mobil IGE: Natural Resource ETF Benefits From Supply Imbalances But Has Underperformed Historically Oil Supply Risk -0.59% +2.37% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-04-13 TSLA / Tesla Lucid Group (LCID) Reports Q1 Deliveries Impacted by Temporary Supply Disruption Oil Supply Risk +11.37% +26.35% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-04-13 XOM / Exxon Mobil These Stocks Are Today’s Movers: Goldman Sachs, Chevron, Sandisk, Fastenal, Leggett & Platt, Ideaya, and More Oil Supply Risk -3.25% -0.70% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-04-13 XOM / Exxon Mobil Atlas Energy Solutions (AESI) Stock Is Up, What You Need To Know Oil Supply Risk -3.25% -0.70% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-04-12 XOM / Exxon Mobil Oil Surges 7% on Hormuz Blockade, U.S. Gulf Tanker Rush — 3 Stocks to Buy Now Oil Supply Risk -3.17% -1.23% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-04-10 XOM / Exxon Mobil A 1,300% rally turns a tiny shipping ETF into an Iran war gauge Oil Supply Risk -3.98% -1.86% No price data Outcome unavailable

Historical observation only. This workspace does not provide investment advice, forecasts, price targets, buy/sell ratings, or claims of causation.

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