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Merrowstone Signal Intelligence

Oil Supply Risk

Historical signal intelligence based on stored Merrowstone event memory and outcome observations. Results are ordered and labelled from existing database evidence only.

Signal Intelligence Summary

Signal nameOil Supply Risk
Historical events shown215
First occurrence shown2023-12-18
Most recent occurrence2026-06-15
Average 7d return+0.07%
Average 30d return+0.67%
Average 90d return+2.56%
Average relative 90d return-7.24%
Best observed outcomeCRWD 2026-03-03 +99.83% 90d
Worst observed outcomeMETA 2025-10-19 -15.67% 90d
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Visual Intelligence Graph

Use this graph to understand how the selected signal connects to events, companies, related signals, and observed outcomes.

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Historical Events Timeline

Direct matches are shown separately from co-signal observations. Pending outcome windows are labelled rather than shown as broken data.

Showing 25 of 214 displayed observations after duplicate grouping.
Date Company Headline Why related? Primary Signal 7d Return 30d Return 90d Return Relative 90d Return Board
Direct Signal MatchesThe selected signal is the primary or directly attributed signal.
2026-05-06 TSLA / Tesla Ford Exits EVs As Toyota Move In Oil Supply Risk +11.67% -1.94% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-05-01 XOM / Exxon Mobil Diamondback Energy’s Endeavor Deal Reshapes Exposure To Post OPEC Oil Volatility Oil Supply Risk -5.36% -1.54% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-04-28 XOM / Exxon Mobil Brent Crude Swings Over $50 Per Barrel in 12 Months as XCF Global Highlights Stability of U.S. Waste Based Feedstock Model Oil Supply Risk +2.87% -1.73% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-04-23 XOM / Exxon Mobil Jones Act Waiver Triggers First Foreign-Flag US Crude Shipment by Phillips 66 Oil Supply Risk +2.52% +0.20% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-04-22 XOM / Exxon Mobil Gabon expects to sign production-sharing contracts with BP and Exxon within six months, minister says Oil Supply Risk +3.46% +4.33% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-04-20 XOM / Exxon Mobil Iran War After 50 Days: 500 Million Barrels of Oil 'Vanish' from the Market, Global Energy Losses Exceed USD 50 Billion Oil Supply Risk +0.35% +6.54% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-04-10 META / Meta Platforms NYSE Content Update: Fourth Annual NYSE Sustainability Leaders Summit to Commence Oil Supply Risk +9.32% -4.92% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-04-09 META / Meta Platforms NYSE Content Update: Fourth Annual NYSE Sustainability Leaders Summit to Commence Oil Supply Risk +7.71% -4.70% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-04-09 META / Meta Platforms Executives gather at 11 Wall Street for NYSE sustainability summit Oil Supply Risk +7.71% -4.70% No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-06-08 XOM / Exxon Mobil TETRA Technologies and Core Laboratories Shares Skyrocket, What You Need To Know Oil Supply Risk -7.14% No price data No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-06-10 CAT / Caterpillar Caterpillar Stock Sinks As Oil Prices Rise Amid Trump Threats Oil Supply Risk Outcome unavailable Outcome unavailable Pending 90d window Pending 90d window
2026-06-09 JPM / JPMorgan Chase Overseas Research Selection Daily Report 0609 | UBS Group: The Fed's threshold for raising interest rates remains high; disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz may prompt a rate cut. Oil Supply Risk +5.90% No price data No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-06-09 NVDA / Nvidia IPG Photonics, Intel, and Monolithic Power Systems Stocks Trade Down, What You Need To Know Oil Supply Risk -0.37% No price data No price data Outcome unavailable
2026-06-09 LMT / Lockheed Martin AAON, AGCO, and Kratos Shares Are Falling, What You Need To Know Oil Supply Risk Outcome unavailable Outcome unavailable Outcome unavailable Outcome unavailable
Related / Co-Signal EventsThe selected signal appears alongside another primary or contextual signal.
2026-03-02 XOM / Exxon Mobil Exxon Mobil Stock Rallies on Oil Price Surge Amid U.S.-Iran Conflict Escalation Commodity Price Spike -2.45% +4.25% -2.48% -13.30%
2026-03-11 NVDA / Nvidia Stock Market Today Review: SPY, QQQ Erase Gains as Iran Deploys Mines in Hormuz; Oil Tumbles 8% Risk Off Rotation -3.03% +1.40% +12.04% +2.77%
2026-03-02 XOM / Exxon Mobil Exxon stock price swings higher as oil surges on Iran conflict; what XOM investors watch next Commodity Price Spike -2.45% +4.25% -2.48% -13.30%
2026-03-02 XOM / Exxon Mobil Occidental Petroleum stock rises as oil jumps; OXY traders eye payrolls and Middle East risk Commodity Price Spike -2.45% +4.25% -2.48% -13.30%
2026-02-22 XOM / Exxon Mobil China, stronger economies to drive global oil demand growth in 2023, 2024: US EIA Commodity Price Spike +4.71% +12.29% +2.41% -6.76%
2026-02-22 XOM / Exxon Mobil Crude oil rebounds as Europe remains nervous over Ukrainian crisis Commodity Price Spike +4.71% +12.29% +2.41% -6.76%
2026-02-18 XOM / Exxon Mobil Murphy Oil (MUR): Can This Quiet Cash Machine Beat Big Oil in 2026? Guidance Reaffirmed -1.08% +5.97% +8.61% +1.41%
2026-02-18 XOM / Exxon Mobil Gasoline prices jump as oil spikes on Iran risk — RBOB futures, UGA ETF climb Commodity Price Spike -1.08% +5.97% +8.61% +1.41%
2026-03-12 XOM / Exxon Mobil ProShares : SCO Commodity Price Spike +3.02% -0.58% -1.23% -10.44%
2026-03-09 XOM / Exxon Mobil United States Oil Fund (USO) Stock Gains After Gulf Production Alert Commodity Price Spike +4.51% +3.84% +1.56% -7.73%
2026-03-03 XOM / Exxon Mobil ConocoPhillips stock jumps 4% as oil spikes on Iran conflict — what COP investors watch next Commodity Price Spike -2.44% +5.84% -0.95% -12.75%

Historical observation only. This workspace does not provide investment advice, forecasts, price targets, buy/sell ratings, or claims of causation.

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